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Risk Management of Wildland Fire

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Research Briefs

2020 Burning without borders: Cooperatively managing wildfire risk in Northern Colorado
Tony S. Cheng et al.
2020 When the fire starts: A science-based framework for risk-based incident response
Rocky Mountain Research Station et al.
2019 A Double Whammy: Climate Change and Stand-Replacing Wildfires
Rocky Mountain Research Station

Syntheses

2011 Uncertainty and risk in wildland fire management: a review
Matthew P. Thompson et al.

Publications/Reports

2021 High-severity wildfire potential – associating meteorology, climate, resource demand and wildfire activity with preparedness levels
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alison Cullen et al.
2021 Operationalising homeowner wildfire risk mitigation in fire-prone areas
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Hugh D. Walpole et al.
2020 Wildfires in the wildland-urban interface: key concepts and evaluation methodologies
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Bento-Gonçalves et al.
2020 Resistance and representation in a wildland-urban interface fuels treatment conflict: the case of the Forsythe II project in the Arapaho-Roosevelt National Forest
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Hannah Brenkert-Smith et al.
2020 Reducing wooden structure and wildland-urban interface fire disaster risk through dynamic risk assessment and management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Torgrim Log et al.
2020 If you love it, let it go: the role of home attachment in wildfire evacuation decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Hugh D. Walpole et al.
2020 Quantification of inter-regional differences in risk mitigation from prescribed burning across multiple management values
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brett Cirulis et al.
2020 Assessing preferences for wildfire prevention policies in Spain
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Maria Alló et al.
2020 Evaluating wildland fire liability standards – does regulation incentivise good management?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher J. Lauer et al.
2020 Awareness and adoption of FireSmart Canada: barriers and incentives
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mohamed Ergibi et al.
2020 Engineering A Safer Crew Protection System
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Andrew Webb et al.
2020 Support for regulatory and voluntary approaches to wildfire adaptation among unincorporated wildland-urban interface communities
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Catrin Edgeley et al.
2020 The Path to Strategic Wildland Fire Management Planning
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Richard D. Stratton
2020 Fostering collective action to reduce wildfire risk across property boundaries in the American West
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Susan Charnley et al.
2019 Beyond ICS: how should we govern complex disasters in the United States?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Branda Nowell et al.
2019 We’re not doing enough prescribed fire in the western United States to mitigate wildfire risk
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal A. Kolden
2019 Cross-boundary wildfire and community exposure: A framework and application in the western U.S.
Technical Report or White Paper
Alan A. Ager et al.
2019 Living with wildfire in Archeluta County, Colorado: 2015 data report
Technical Report or White Paper
James R. Meldrum et al.
2019 Interactions between Resident Risk Perceptions and Wildfire Risk Mitigation: Evidence from Simultaneous Equations Modeling
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James R. Meldrum et al.
2019 Fine scale assessment of cross boundary wildfire events in the Western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Palaiologos Palaiologou et al.
2019 Wildfire exposure to the wildland urban interface in the western US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan A. Ager et al.
2019 A social-ecological network approach for understanding wildfire risk governance
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew Hamilton et al.
2019 Interagency Standards for Fire and Fire Aviation Operations
Technical Report or White Paper
Interagency Standards for Fire and Fire Aviation Operations Group
2019 Fine-scale assessment of cross-boundary wildfire events in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Palaiologos Palaiologou et al.
2019 Impacts of wildland fire effects on resources and assets through expert elicitation to support fire response decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Colin B. McFayden et al.
2019 Modelling the fire propagation from the fuel bed to the lower canopy of ornamental species used in wildland–urban interfaces
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
L. Terrei et al.
2019 Burn probability simulation and subsequent wildland fire activity in Alberta, Canada – Implications for risk assessment and strategic planning
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jennifer L. Beverly et al.
2019 Tradeoffs between US national forest harvest targets and fuel management to reduce wildfire transmission to the wildland urban interface
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan A. Ager et al.
2019 Exposure Complexity and Community Capacity to Manage Wildfire Risk: A Coupled Biophysical and Social Analysis of 60 Communities in the Western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Max W. Nielsen-Pincus et al.
2019 Engaging the fire before it starts: A case study from the 2017 Pinal Fire (Arizona)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher D. O'Connor et al.
2019 Risk management and analytics in wildfire response
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2019 Risk factor as a strategy to validate the prioritization of areas for wildfire protection
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
José G. Flores Garnica et al.
2019 Determinants of perceived risk and liability concerns associated with prescribed burning in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Omkar Joshi et al.
2019 Designing operationally relevant daily large fire containment strategies using risk assessment results
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Yu Wei et al.
2018 Guidelines for risk management in forest planning — what is risk and when is risk management useful?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kyle Eyvindson et al.
2018 Values of the public at risk of wildfire and its management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kathryn J. Williams et al.
2018 Wildfire risk mitigation: Local solutions to a national problem
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jonathan Bruno
2018 Responding to risky neighbors: Testing for spatial spillover effects for defensible space in a fire-prone WUI community
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Travis Warziniack et al.
2017 Uncertainty in natural hazards: modeling and decision support (Introduction)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karen L. Riley et al.
2017 The influence of incident management teams on the deployment of wildfire suppression resources
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
2017 Should I stay or should I go now? Or should I wait and see? Influences on wildfire evacuation decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sarah M. McCaffrey et al.
2017 Examining the influence of biophysical conditions on wildland-urban interface homeowners' wildfire risk mitigation activities in fire-prone landscapes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christine Olsen et al.
2017 Uncertainty in natural hazards, modeling and decision support: An introduction to this volume [Chapter 1]
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karen L. Riley et al.
2017 Interacting effects of topography, vegetation, human activities and wildland-urban interfaces on wildfire ignition risk
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
María Calviño-Cancela et al.
2017 Whither the paradigm shift? Large wildland fires and the wildfire paradox offer opportunities for a new paradigm of ecological fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Timothy Ingalsbee
2017 Towards improving wildland firefighter situational awareness through daily fire behaviour risk assessments in the US Northern Rockies and Northern Great Basin
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William Matt Jolly et al.
2017 Federal fire managers' perceptions of the importance, scarcity and substitutability of suppression resources
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal S. Stonesifer et al.
2017 Natural hazard modeling and uncertainty analysis (Chapter 2)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2017 Characterising resource use and potential inefficiencies during large-fire suppression in the western US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Hari Katuwal et al.
2016 Is seeing believing? Perceptions of wildfire risk over time
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Patricia A. Champ et al.
2016 Application of wildfire risk assessment results to wildfire response planning in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2016 Examining alternative fuel management strategies and the relative contribution of National Forest System land to wildfire risk to adjacent homes - a pilot assessment on the Sierra National Forest, California, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott et al.
2016 Risk terminology primer: basic principles and a glossary for the wildland fire management community
Technical Report or White Paper
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2016 Risk management: core principles and practices, and their relevance to wildland fire
Technical Report or White Paper
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2016 Wildfire risk as a socioecological pathology
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Paige Fischer et al.
2015 Integrating pixel- and polygon-based approaches to wildfire risk assessment: application to a high-value watershed on the Pike and San Isabel National Forests, Colorado, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2015 Risk preferences, probability weighting, and strategy tradeoffs in wildfire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Michael S. Hand et al.
2015 Development and application of a geospatial wildfire exposure and risk calculation tool
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2015 Wildland fire management futures: Insights from a foresight panel - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Robert L. Olson et al.
2015 Understanding gaps between the risk perceptions of wildland-urban interface (WUI) residents and wildfire professionals
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James R. Meldrum et al.
2015 Emerging concepts in wildfire risk assessment and management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott et al.
2014 Understanding stochastic wildfire simulation results
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott
2014 Assessing the expected effects of wildfire on vegetation condition on the Bridger-Teton National Forest, Wyoming, USA
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott et al.
2014 Developing an aviation exposure index to inform risk-based fire management decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal S. Stonesifer et al.
2014 Wildfire risk transmission in the Colorado Front Range, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jessica R. Haas et al.
2014 Examining fire-prone landscapes as coupled human and natural systems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Thomas A. Spies et al.
2014 Risk savvy: how to make good decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gerd Gigerenzer
2013 Escape probability: an alternative risk metric to support and evaluate wilderness fire management decisions
Dissertation or Thesis
Kevin M. Barnett
2013 Appendix 2: Risk-based framework and risk case studies. Risk assessment for wildfire in the Western United States
Technical Report or White Paper
David L. Peterson et al.
2013 A polygon-based modeling approach to assess exposure of resources and assets to wildfire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2013 Forest fire management to avoid unintended consequences: a case study of Portugal using system dynamics
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Ross D. Collins et al.
2013 Simulating effects of land use policies on extent of the wildland urban interface and wildfire risk in Flathead County, Montana
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Travis B. Paveglio et al.
2013 A national approach for integrating wildfire simulation modeling into wildland urban interface risk assessments within the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jessica R. Haas et al.
2013 Research and development supporting risk-based wildfire effects prediction for fuels and fire management: status and needs
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kevin D. Hyde et al.
2013 Decision making for wildfires: a guide for applying a risk management process at the incident level
Technical Report or White Paper
Mary A. Taber et al.
2013 A wildfire risk assessment framework for land and resource management
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott et al.
2013 Integrated wildfire risk assessment: framework development and application on the Lewis and Clark National Forest in Montana, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2013 Risk preferences in strategic wildfire decision making: a choice experiment with U.S. wildfire managers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew J. Wibbenmeyer et al.
2013 Analyzing the transmission of wildfire exposure on a fire-prone landscape in Oregon, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan A. Ager et al.
2013 Modeling wildfire incident complexity dynamics
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson
2013 Wildfire exposure and fuel management on western US national forests
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan A. Ager et al.
2013 How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David E. Calkin et al.
2012 Quantifying the threat of unsuppressed wildfires reaching the adjacent wildland-urban interface on the Bridger-Teton National Forest, Wyoming, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott et al.
2012 Wildland Fire Management Decision Making
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Tom Zimmerman
2012 Risk complexity and the wildland firefighter
Conference Proceedings
Ivan Pupulidy
2012 Probabilistic assessment of wildfire hazard and municipal watershed exposure
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott et al.
2011 A real-time risk assessment tool supporting wildland fire decisionmaking
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David E. Calkin et al.
2011 A comparative risk assessment framework for wildland fire management: the 2010 cohesive strategy science report
Technical Report or White Paper
2011 Advancing effects analysis for integrated, large-scale wildfire risk assessment
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2011 The exposure index: developing firefighter safety performance measures
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David E. Calkin et al.
2011 Primer on risk analysis: decision making under uncertainty
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Charles Yoe
2011 A simulation of probabilistic wildfire risk components for the continental United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney et al.
2011 The Wildland Fire Decision Support System: Integrating science, technology, and fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Morgan Pence et al.
2011 Integrated national-scale assessment of wildfire risk to human and ecological values
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2011 Uncertainty and risk in wildland fire management: a review
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Synthesis
Matthew P. Thompson et al.
2011 Managing wildfire events: risk-based decision making among a group of federal fire managers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Robyn S. Wilson et al.
2009 Risk management - principles and guidelines
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Geneva Switzerland International organization for standardization
2009 Science and decisions: advancing risk assessment
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
National Research Council
2009 A new process for organizing assessments of social, economic, and environmental outcomes: case study of wildland fire management in the USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Management or Planning Document
Randall J. F. Bruins et al.
2007 The next catastrophe: reducing our vulnerabilities to natural, industrial, and terrorist disasters
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Charles Perrow
2007 Managing the unexpected: resilient performance in an age of uncertainty
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick et al.
2006 An analytical framework for quantifying wildland fire risk and fuel treatment benefit
Conference Proceedings
Joe H. Scott
2005 Wildland fire hazard and risk: problems, definitions and context
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Colin C. Hardy
2005 Shared mindfulness in cockpit crisis situations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Janice L. Krieger
2005 Evaluating communication strategies and local partnerships: methods for reducing fuels, sharing responsibility, and building trust - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Bruce A. Shindler
2005 Accepting uncertainty, assessing risk: decision quality in managing wildfire, forest resource values, and new technology
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeffrey G. Borchers
2005 Predicting risks of uncharacteristic wildfires: application of the risk assessment process
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anne Fairbrother et al.
2005 The challenge of quantitative risk analysis for wildland fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney
2004 Surviving the age of risk: a call for ethical management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lance J. Ewing et al.
2004 A new accident model for engineering safer systems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Nancy Leveson
2004 Probability based models for estimation of wildfire risk
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Haiganoush K. Preisler et al.
2003 The spatial context of fire: a new approach for predicting fire occurrence
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Carol Miller
2002 Inviting disaster: lessons from the edge of technology
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James R. Chiles
2002 Risk as analysis and risk as feelings: some thoughts about affect, reason, risk, and rationality
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul Slovic et al.
2000 Lessons from Longford: the Esso Gas Plant explosion
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Andrew Hopkins
2000 Sequential use of simulation and optimization in analysis and planning
Conference Proceedings
Hans R. Zuuring et al.
1999 Risk management for ecological stewardship
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
D.A. Cleaves et al.
1999 Managing major hazards: the lessons of the Moura Mine disaster
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Andrew Hopkins
1999 Normal accidents: living with high-risk technologies
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Charles Perrow
1998 Organizational learning activities in high-hazard industries: the logics underlying self-analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John S. Carroll
1997 Managing the risks of organizational accidents
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James Reason
1997 Man-made disasters
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Barry A. Turner et al.
1997 Managing environmental uncertainty with legitimate authority: a comparative analysis of the Mann Gulch and Storm King Mountain Fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
G. Stoney Alder
1996 Learning from mistakes is easier said than done: group and organizational influences on the detection and correction of human error
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Amy Edmondson
1995 Beyond aviation human factors: safety in high technology systems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Daniel E. Maurino et al.
1994 Causes of disaster: sloppy management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Barry Turner
1993 Preventing chaos in a crisis: strategies for prevention, control and damage limitation
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Patrick Lagadec
1993 Organizational communication imperatives: lessons of the space program
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Phillip K. Tompkins
1991 The 1985 Butte fire in central Idaho: a Canadian perspective on the associated burning conditions
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Martin E. Alexander
1990 Uncertainty: a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
M. Granger Morgan et al.
1990 Overcoming organizational defenses: facilitating organizational learning
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Chris Argyris
1990 Conservatism, efficiency, and the value of life
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Douglas MacLean et al.
1990 The history and politics of disaster management in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Roy S. Popkin
1990 Military misfortunes: the anatomy of failure in war
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Eliot A. Cohen et al.
1990 On risk communication as interorganizational control: the case of the aviation safety reporting system
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Phillip K. Tompkins
1989 Decision traps: the ten barriers to brilliant decision-making and how to overcome them
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
J. Edward Russo et al.
1988 Economic efficiency and risk character of fire management programs, northern Rocky Mountains
Technical Report or White Paper
Thomas J. Mills et al.
1987 Searching for safety
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Aaron Wildavsky
1986 Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
1982 Risk and culture: an essay on the selection of technological and environmental dangers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mary Douglas et al.
1981 Threat rigidity effects in organizational behavior: a multilevel analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Barry Staw et al.

Management Documents

2009 A new process for organizing assessments of social, economic, and environmental outcomes: case study of wildland fire management in the USA
Randall J. F. Bruins et al.

Videos

Aug 20, 2019 Wildfire Mitigation in SW CO & Investigating How the 416 Fire Influenced Behaviors
Ashley Downing, Lauren Nicole Dupéy
Jul 10, 2019 Wildfire Risk in the Northern Rockies, Northwest, and Southwest Geographic Areas
Erin Noonan-Wright
Mar 27, 2019 Spatial and Temporal Tools for Fire Risk Assessment
Robert Ziel
Dec 20, 2018 Engaging the Fire Before it Starts: proactive risk management
Dec 20, 2018 Re-forging Our Relationship with Fire
Nov 29, 2017 Why use FSPro? Interview with Mark Finney
Mark A. Finney
Feb 3, 2017 David Calkin - What will it take to break the cycle of the wildfire paradox?
David E. Calkin
May 25, 2016 Occupy wildfires: the story of the 1%
Jessica R. Haas
Jan 1, 2016 We are the Forest Service
Dec 6, 2012 Have definitions and standards for fire severity, hazard, and risk improved since 1999?
Penelope Morgan, Colin C. Hardy

Webinars

Sep 29, 2020 Assessing Firesheds for Prioritization, Planning and Investment
Alan A. Ager
Jun 30, 2020 What Motivates Homeowners to Mitigate Fire Risk: Lessons From Social Science
Sarah M. McCaffrey
Jun 17, 2020 How to Live with Fire – Where in the World? And What does that Suggest?
Peter F. Moore
Apr 28, 2020 Montana Wildfire Risk Assessment
Matt Hall, Joe H. Scott, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day
Feb 25, 2020 Boundary-Spanning for Collective Action: Managing Wildfire Risk in the West
Emily Jane Davis, Tony S. Cheng, Darren McAvoy
Jan 22, 2020 PODs in Strategic Wildfire Risk Planning: Applications, Lessons Learned, and Future Directions
Christopher D. O'Connor
Jun 12, 2019 FEMA Colorado Wildfire Mitigation, Strategies Tested and Lessons Learned: Wind. Fire. Loss
Feb 6, 2019 Let's Fix the Fire Problem: Here's a Solution
Daniel Leavell
Aug 17, 2017 Bridging the Divide - Video 2: Values & Risks
Jul 28, 2017 Developing an Effective Mitigation Strategy
Brett Holt, Patty Perry, Greg Adams
May 9, 2017 Making National Spatial Data Work on Your NW Landscape
Kori Blankenship
Jun 3, 2015 Wildfire risk assessment
Kevin Martin, Stephen Gage, David N. Seesholtz
Jan 22, 2015 Landscape science solutions for resource managers
Jerry Tagestad
Jan 15, 2015 Risk assessment to achieve fire-adapted communities
David E. Calkin
May 5, 2014 Assessing Needs: Tetons Interagency Wildfire Risk Assessment
Joe H. Scott
Mar 20, 2014 LANDFIRE #2: Assessing needs - Grand Teton NP & Bridger-Teton NF risk assessment findings
Joe H. Scott
Jun 7, 2012 ArcFuels: an ArcGIS interface for fuel treatment planning and wildfire risk assessment
Nicole M. Vaillant
Apr 11, 2011 Using climate information for risk mitigation and objective achievement in managed fire
Crystal A. Kolden

Upcoming Events

None.

Past Events

PODs Collaborative Fire Planning Workshop
February 24, 2021 to February 25, 2021
V International Congress on Risks
October 18, 2020 to October 22, 2020
Colorado Wildland Fire Conference 2020
September 30, 2020 to October 1, 2020
Interactive virtual workshop: Developing a Common Grammar of Coordination and Collaboration (GCC) in Wildfire Risk Management
June 29, 2020
Law, Planning and Wildlife in Wildland-Urban Interface: The Future of Government and Governance of Disaster in the West
October 19, 2018
Second International Conference on Fire Behaviour and Risk
May 26, 2015 to May 29, 2015
Wildfire Risk and Fuel Treatment Analysis Workshop
January 27, 2015 to January 29, 2015