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Fire Behavior Prediction

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Publications/Reports

2021 Optimum Sensors Allocation for a Forest Fires Monitoring System
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Beatriz Azevedo et al.
2021 Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: fire size and stability
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Rachel Badlan et al.
2021 Merging of Horizontally and Vertically Separated Small-Scale Buoyant Flames
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Thomas H. Fletcher et al.
2020 Mathematical modeling of wildland fire initiation and spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Vladimir Agranat et al.
2020 Frequency of Dynamic Fire Behaviours in Australian Forest Environments
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alexander I. Filkov et al.
2020 Fire behaviour in wheat crops - effect of fuel structure on rate of fire spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miguel G. Cruz et al.
2020 Effect of weather forecast errors on fire growth model projections
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Trent D. Penman et al.
2020 Two methods for calculating wildland fire rate of forward spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James S. Gould et al.
2020 Lateral flame spread over PMMA under forced air flow
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kun Zhao et al.
2020 Determination of Firebrand Characteristics Using Thermal Videos
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sergey Prohanov et al.
2020 Drivers of long-distance spotting during wildfires in south-eastern Australia
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Michael A. Storey et al.
2020 Soft-computing-centric framework for wildfire monitoring, prediction and forecasting
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Harkiran Kaur et al.
2020 A convective–radiative propagation model for wildland fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jacques Henri Balbi et al.
2020 Global fire season severity analysis and forecasting
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Leonardo N. Ferreira et al.
2019 Pixel-level statistical analyses of prescribed fire spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miles Currie et al.
2019 Adjusting the rate of spread of fire simulations in real-time
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Adrián Cardil et al.
2019 A review of a new generation of wildfire–atmosphere modeling
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Bakhshaii et al.
2019 Can peat soil support a flaming wildfire?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Shaorun Lin et al.
2019 Classification of potential fire outbreaks: a fuzzy modeling approach based on thermal images
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Maria João Sousa et al.
2019 Applications of simulation-based burn probability modelling: a review
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Marc-Andre Parisien et al.
2018 Live Fuel Moisture Content: The ‘Pea Under the Mattress’ of Fire Spread Rate Modeling?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Carlos G. Rossa et al.
2018 Fire spread across a sloping fuel bed: flame dynamics and heat transfers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Frederic Morandini et al.
2018 An improved non-equilibrium model for the ignition of living fuel
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Lamorlette et al.
2018 Advancing the Science of Wildland Fire Dynamics Using Process-Based Models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Chad M. Hoffman et al.
2018 Dimensional analysis on forest fuel bed fire spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jiann C. Yang
2018 An evaluation of NDFD weather forecasts for wildland fire behavior prediction
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Wesley G. Page et al.
2018 Scaling nonreactive cross flow over a heated plate to simulate forest fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Nikolay Gustenyov et al.
2017 Evidence of fuels management and fire weather influencing fire severity in an extreme fire event
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jamie M. Lydersen et al.
2017 An uncertainty analysis of wildfire modeling [Chapter 13]
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karen L. Riley et al.
2017 An improved canopy wind model for predicting wind adjustment factors and wildland fire behavior
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William J. Massman et al.
2017 Fuel-related fire-behaviour relationships for mixed live and dead fuels burned in the laboratory
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Carlos G. Rossa et al.
2017 Qualitative flow visualization of flame attachment on slopes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Torben Grumstrup et al.
2016 Burning rates of wood cribs with implications for wildland fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sara S. McAllister et al.
2016 The effect of wind on burning rate of wood cribs
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sara S. McAllister et al.
2016 Near-term probabilistic forecast of significant wildfire events for the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Haiganoush K. Preisler et al.
2016 Weather, fuels, and topography impede wildland fire spread in western US landscapes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lisa M. Holsinger et al.
2016 Autoignition of wood under combined convective and radiative heating
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sara S. McAllister et al.
2015 Warning signals for eruptive events in spreading fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jerome M. Fox et al.
2015 A wildfire-relevant climatology of the convective environment of the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brian E. Potter et al.
2015 Experimental analysis of fire spread across a two-dimensional ridge under wind conditions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
J. R. Raposo et al.
2015 Evaluating crown fire rate of spread predictions from physics-based models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Chad M. Hoffman et al.
2014 Representation and evaluation of wildfire propagation simulations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jean-Baptiste Filippi et al.
2014 Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984-2011
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Philip E. Dennison et al.
2013 Fire weather case study - Mann Gulch Fire, Montana
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Werth
2013 Angular variation of fire rate of spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jorge C. S. Andre et al.
2013 Current status and future needs of the BehavePlus Fire Modeling System
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Patricia L. Andrews
2013 Uncertainty associated with model predictions of surface and crown fire rates of spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miguel G. Cruz et al.
2013 Fuel Characteristic Classification System version 3.0: technical documentation
Technical Report or White Paper
Susan J. Prichard et al.
2013 Modelling conditional burn probability patterns for large wildland fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Pamela S. Ziesler et al.
2013 Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou et al.
2013 Optimising fuel treatments over time and space
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Woodam Chung et al.
2013 Are the applications of wildland fire behaviour models getting ahead of their evaluation again?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Martin E. Alexander et al.
2013 Models for predicting fuel consumption in sagebrush-dominated ecosystems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Clinton S. Wright
2013 Combustibility of a mixture of live and dead fuel components
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Domingos Xavier Viegas et al.
2012 On linking the impacts and effects of wildland fires to their behavior
Presentation Slides
Martin E. Alexander
2011 A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou et al.
2011 Synthesis of knowledge of extreme fire behavior: Volume 1 for managers
Synthesis, Technical Report or White Paper
Paul A. Werth et al.
2011 A method for ensemble wildland fire simulation
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney et al.
2011 Analyzing wildfire exposure and source-sink relationships on a fire prone forest landscape
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan A. Ager et al.
2011 Linking 3D spatial models of fuels and fire: effects of spatial heterogeneity on fire behavior
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Russell A. Parsons et al.
2010 Large scale fire whirls: can their formation be predicted?
Conference Proceedings
Jason M. Forthofer et al.
2010 Fire-climate interactions in the American west since 1400 CE
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Valerie Trouet et al.
2009 Fuel treatment guidebook: illustrating treatment effects on fire hazard
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal L. Raymond
2009 Seasonal predictions for wildland fire severity
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Shyh-Chin Chen et al.
2009 Wildland surface fire spread modelling, 1990-2007. 1: Physical and quasi-physical models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Synthesis
Andrew L. Sullivan
2009 Wildland surface fire spread modelling, 1990-2007. 2: Empirical and quasi-empirical models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Synthesis
Andrew L. Sullivan
2009 Wildland surface fire spread modelling, 1990-2007. 3: Simulation and mathematical analogue models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Synthesis
Andrew L. Sullivan
2007 Wildfires, weather, and productivity
Conference Proceedings
Michel L. Bernard et al.
2007 A physics-based approach to modelling grassland fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William E. Mell et al.
2007 Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Haiganoush K. Preisler et al.
2007 Simulation of long-term landscape-level fuel treatment effects on large wildfires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney et al.
2007 Predicted fire behavior in selected mountain pine beetle-infested lodgepole pine
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Wesley G. Page et al.
2006 Evaluation of MM5 model resolution when applied to prediction of National Fire Danger Rating indexes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeanne L. Hoadley et al.
2006 Interpreting fire behavior - powerpoint
Presentation Slides
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service
2006 Regional relationships between climate and wildfire-burned area in the Interior West, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brandon M. Collins et al.
2004 Landscape fire simulation and fuel treatment optimization
Technical Report or White Paper
Mark A. Finney
2004 MODIS Applications in 2003 Fire Management - Slide presentation
Conference Proceedings
C. A. Ryan et al.
2004 A comment on models and modelling in fire/fuel management
Technical Report or White Paper
Martin E. Alexander
2003 Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger
Conference Proceedings
Jeanne L. Hoadley et al.
2003 Assessing canopy fuel stratum characteristics in crown fire prone fuel types of western North America
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Martin E. Alexander et al.
2003 Comparison of 2-D wind fields and simulated wildland fire growth
Conference Proceedings
Karl F. Zeller et al.
2003 Climate and wildfire in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling et al.
2003 Statistical forecasts of the 2003 western wildfire season using canonical correlation analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling et al.
2003 Predicting surface winds in complex terrain for use in fire spread models
Conference Proceedings
Jason M. Forthofer et al.
2003 Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana
Conference Proceedings
Brian E. Potter et al.
2002 The 2000 fire season: lightning-caused fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miriam L. Rorig et al.
2002 Long lead statistical forecasts of area burned in western U.S. wildfires by ecosystem province
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling et al.
2001 Statistical forecast of the 2001 western wildfire season using principal components regression
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling et al.
2000 Fire-climate interactions in the Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness area
Conference Proceedings
Kurt F. Kipfmueller et al.
2000 The Mann Gulch Fire and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System
Conference Proceedings
Martin E. Alexander
2000 Simulating fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William W. Hargrove et al.
2000 Stevensville West Central Study
Conference Proceedings
J. Greg Jones et al.
1995 Intermountain West lightning-caused fires: climatic predictors of area burned
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Knapp
1994 A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological precipitation over mountainous terrain
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher Daly et al.
1993 Mann Gulch fire: a race that couldn't be won
Technical Report or White Paper
Richard C. Rothermel
1993 The evaluation of Idaho wildfire growth using the Haines Index
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Werth et al.
1991 Predicting behavior and size of crown fires in the northern Rocky Mountains
Technical Report or White Paper
Richard C. Rothermel
1991 Predicting behavior of the 1988 Yellowstone fires: projections versus reality
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Richard C. Rothermel
1990 The Haines Index and Idaho fire growth
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Werth et al.
1988 Help with making crown fire hazard assessments
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Martin E. Alexander
1986 Appraising fuels and flammability in western aspen: a prescribed fire guide
Technical Report or White Paper
James K. Brown et al.
1985 Predicting duff and woody fuel consumed by prescribed fire in the Northern Rocky Mountains
Technical Report or White Paper
James K. Brown et al.
1984 Changes in fire weather distributions: effects on predicted fire behavior
Technical Report or White Paper
Lucy A. Salazar et al.
1984 Modeling behavior of prescribed fires in Yosemite National Park
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jan W. van Wagtendonk et al.
1982 Fuel and fire behavior prediction in big sagebrush
Technical Report or White Paper
James K. Brown
1980 Influence of harvesting and residues on fuels and fire management
Technical Report or White Paper
James K. Brown
1976 Fire danger rating network density
Technical Report or White Paper
Rudy M. King et al.
1966 Mechanisms of fire spread research progress report no. 2
Technical Report or White Paper
Hal E. Anderson
1957 The relationship of jet streams to forest fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
V. J. Schaefer
1951 Fire behavior in Northern Rocky Mountain Forests
Technical Report or White Paper
Jack S. Barrows

Videos

May 28, 2019 Missoula Fire Sciences Lab Virtual Field Trip
Mark A. Finney, Sara S. McAllister
Nov 29, 2017 FSPro settings
Mark A. Finney
Nov 29, 2017 What makes a good fire analyst
Mark A. Finney
May 27, 2014 The fire lab
Mark A. Finney, Sara S. McAllister

Webinars

Jan 22, 2020 FlamMap 6.0 Webinar
Charles W. McHugh
May 2, 2017 Fundamental research on how wildfires spread
Sara S. McAllister
Nov 16, 2015 Presentation 1: Analyst considerations in Alaska (concepts applicable to the lower 48)
Robert Ziel, LaWen Hollingsworth, Rick Stratton, Jon D. Rieck
May 20, 2015 Vortices and wildland fire
Scott L. Goodrick, Jason M. Forthofer
Jan 27, 2015 Effects of complex terrain on extreme fire behavior
Craig B. Clements, Neil Lareau
Aug 9, 2012 Introduction to FlamMap5
Charles W. McHugh
Dec 8, 2011 WFDSS modeling and weather
Tom St. Clair

Upcoming Events

None.