Richard C. Rothermel
Year Published:

Cataloging Information

Fire Behavior
Extreme Fire Behavior
Case Studies
Fire Prediction
Subalpine wet spruce-fir forest, Subalpine dry spruce-fir forest

NRFSN number: 8252
FRAMES RCS number: 9751
Record updated: June 13, 2018

An account is presented of the initial long range, 30-day, projections of fire growth of the wildfires in the Greater Yellow stone Area in 1988. The request for information, the method of prediction, and the actual fire growth are discussed and documented with maps. The difficulties and uncertainties of long-range fire prediction are discussed with suggestions for improving the process and comments on new research products available or being developed that could aid this process.


Rothermel, R. C. 1991. Predicting behavior of the 1988 Yellowstone fires: projections versus reality. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 1(1): 1-10.

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