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A JFSP Fire Science Exchange Network
Bringing People Together & Sharing Knowledge in the Northern Rockies

Decisionmaking

Research Briefs

2012 Wildfire triage: targeting mitigation based on social, economic, and ecological values
Karl Malcolm, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Mark A. Finney, Alan A. Ager

Publications/Reports

2019 Fire regime and ecosystem responses: adaptive forest management in a changing world (Part 2)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Daniel Moya, Giacomo Certini, Peter Z. Fule
2017 An empirical machine learning method for predicting potential fire control locations for pre-fire planning and operational fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher D. O'Connor, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
2017 Federal fire managers' perceptions of the importance, scarcity and substitutability of suppression resources
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal S. Stonesifer, David E. Calkin, Michael S. Hand
2017 A framework for developing safe and effective large-fire response in a new fire management paradigm
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher J. Dunn, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin
2017 Systems thinking and wildland fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin
2017 Uncertainty in natural hazards: modeling and decision support (Introduction)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karen L. Riley, Matthew P. Thompson, Peter Webley, Kevin D. Hyde
2016 Risk perception, sense-making and resilient performance: the sounds of wildland firefighting in action - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Anne E. Black, David Thomas, J. Ziegler, Elena Gabor, Rebekah L. Fox
2016 Uncertainty is information, too
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Bruce G. Marcot, Matthew P. Thompson, Thomas W. Bonnot, Frank R. Thompson
2015 Wildfires: systemic changes required
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin
2015 A mixed integer program to model spatial wildfire behavior and suppression placement decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Erin J. Belval, Yu Wei, Michael Bevers
2014 Understanding stochastic wildfire simulation results
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott
2014 Developing an aviation exposure index to inform risk-based fire management decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Crystal S. Stonesifer, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Jeffrey D. Kaiden
2014 Economics of wildfire management: the development and application of suppression expenditure models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Michael S. Hand, Krista M. Gebert, Jingjing Liang, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Mo Zhou
2014 Predicting wildfire ignitions, escapes, and large fire activity using Predictive Service’s 7-Day Fire Potential Outlook in the western USA
Conference Proceedings
Karen L. Riley, Crystal S. Stonesifer, Haiganoush K. Preisler, David E. Calkin
2013 A polygon-based modeling approach to assess exposure of resources and assets to wildfire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Joe H. Scott, Jeffrey D. Kaiden, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day
2013 Wildland firefighter entrapment avoidance: modelling evacuation triggers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gregory K. Fryer, Philip E. Dennison, Thomas J. Cova
2013 Twelfth international wildland fire safety summit proceedings
Conference Proceedings
Rebekah L. Fox
2013 Research and development supporting risk-based wildfire effects prediction for fuels and fire management: status and needs
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kevin D. Hyde, Matthew B. Dickinson, Gil Bohrer, David E. Calkin, Louisa Evers, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, Tessa Nicolet, Kevin C. Ryan, Christina Tague
2013 Decision making for wildfires: a guide for applying a risk management process at the incident level
Technical Report or White Paper
Mary A. Taber, Lisa M. Elenz, Paul G. Langowski
2013 Risk preferences in strategic wildfire decision making: a choice experiment with U.S. wildfire managers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew J. Wibbenmeyer, Michael S. Hand, David E. Calkin, Tyron J. Venn, Matthew P. Thompson
2012 Wildland Fire Management Decision Making
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Tom Zimmerman
2012 Recent advances in applying decision science to managing managing national forests
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Bruce G. Marcot, Matthew P. Thompson, Michael C. Runge, Frank R. Thompson, Steven G. McNulty, David Cleaves, Monica S. Tomosy, Larry A. Fisher, Andrew Bliss
2011 A real-time risk assessment tool supporting wildland fire decisionmaking
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Mark A. Finney, Kevin D. Hyde
2008 Decision modeling for analyzing fire action outcomes
Technical Report or White Paper
Donald G. MacGregor, Armando Gonzalez-Caban
2007 Using social science to understand and improve wildland fire organizations: an annotated reading list
Annotated Bibliography, Technical Report or White Paper
Gregory Larson, Vita Wright, Kelly Rossetto, Georgi Rausch, Andrea Richards, Stephanie Durnford
2006 A national study of the consequences of fire and fire surrogate treatments
Technical Report or White Paper
James D. McIver, Phil Weatherspoon
2006 The go point: when it's time to decide - knowing what to do and when to do it
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Michael Useem
2005 Blink: the power of thinking without thinking
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Malcolm Gladwell
2005 Can behavioral decision theory explain risk-averse fire management decisions?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lynn A. Maguire, Elizabeth A. Albright
2004 MODIS Applications in 2003 Fire Management - Slide presentation
Conference Proceedings
C. A. Ryan, Bryce L. Nordgren, James P. Menakis, Mark A. Finney, Wei Min Hao
2004 Deep survival: who lives, who dies and why
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Laurence Gonzales
2004 How professionals make decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
2003 Intuition at work
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gary Klein
2003 Columbia accident review board report
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
2003 Sensemaking on the shop floor: narratives of knowledge in organizations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gerardo Patriotta
2002 Making strategic choices
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul C. Nutt
2002 Why decisions fail
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul C. Nutt
2002 Emerging perspectives on judgment and decision research
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
2001 Making sense of the organization
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick
2000 Sources of power: how people make decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gary Klein
2000 Decisions: making the right ones. Learning from the wrong ones.
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gary Klein, Karl E. Weick
2000 Do conflict management styles affect group decision making? Evidence from a longitudinal field study
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Timothy Kuhn, M. Scott Poole
1999 Surprising but true: half the decisions in organizations fail
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul C. Nutt
1999 Dialogue and the art of thinking together
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William Isaacs
1996 Reframing and organizational action
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Ian Palmer, Richard Dunford
1996 The Challenger launch decision: risky technology, culture, and deviance at NASA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Diane Vaughan
1996 Drop your tools: an allegory for organizational studies
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick
1995 Toward a theory of situation awareness in dynamic systems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mica Endsley
1995 Sensemaking in organizations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick
1993 The collapse of sensemaking in organizations: the Mann Gulch disaster
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick
1993 Putting the balanced scorecard to work
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Robert S. Kaplan, David P. Norton
1993 The textual approach: risk and blame in disaster sensemaking
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Robert P. Gephart Jr.
1993 Organizational values and control
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Connie Bullis
1992 Pinto fires and personal ethics: a script analysis of missed opportunities
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Dennis Gioia
1992 The balanced scorecard: measures that drive performance
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Robert S. Kaplan, David P. Norton
1989 Making fast strategic decisions in high-velocity environments
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kathleen Eisenhardt
1989 Decision traps: the ten barriers to brilliant decision-making and how to overcome them
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
J. Edward Russo, Paul J. H. Schoemaker
1989 Decision traps
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
J. Edward Russo, Paul J. H. Shoemaker
1988 Enacted sensemaking in crisis situations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Karl E. Weick