Search by keywords, then use filters to narrow down results by type, year, topic, or ecosystem.
Displaying 21 - 40 of 70
This publication focuses on the thought processes and considerations surrounding a risk management process for decision making on wildfires. The publication introduces a six element risk management cycle designed to encourage sound risk-informed…
Year Published:
Spatially explicit burn probability modeling is increasingly applied to assess wildfire risk and inform mitigation strategy development. Burn probabilities are typically expressed on a per-pixel basis, calculated as the number of times a pixel burns…
Year Published:
Wildland fire management has moved beyond a singular focus on suppression, calling for wildfire management for ecological benefit where no critical human assets are at risk. Processes causing direct effects and indirect, long-term ecosystem changes…
Year Published:
A goal of fire management in wilderness is to allow fire to play its natural ecological role without intervention. Unfortunately, most unplanned ignitions in wilderness are suppressed, in part because of the risk they might pose to values outside of…
Year Published:
Wildland fire management in the United States has historically been a challenging and complex program governed by a multitude of factors including situational status, objectives, operational capability, science and technology, and changes and…
Year Published:
Evaluating the risks of wildfire relative to the valuable resources found in any managed landscape requires an interdisciplinary approach. Researchers at the Rocky Mountain Research Station and Western Wildland Threat Assessment Center developed…
Year Published:
Management of federal public forests to meet sustainability goals and multiple use regulations is an immense challenge. To succeed, we suggest use of formal decision science procedures and tools in the context of structured decision making (SDM).…
Year Published:
Development of appropriate management strategies for escaped wildland fires is complex. Fire managers need the ability to identify, in real time, the likelihood that wildfire will affect valuable developed and natural resources (e.g., private…
Year Published:
A methodology for incident decomposition and reconstruction is developed based on the concept of an "event-frame model." The event-frame model characterizes a fire incident in terms of (a) environmental events that pertain to the fire and the fire…
Year Published:
United States wildland fire policy and program reviews in 1995 and 2000 required both the reduction of hazardous fuel and recognition of fire as a natural process. Despite the fact that existing policy permits managing natural ignitions to meet…
Year Published:
In Useem’s earlier book, “The Leadership Moment,” he described leadership lessons that could be learned from various situations, including the Mann Gulch disaster. In this book, Useem has turned his attention from leadership to decision making,…
Year Published:
We provide highlights of some of the results thus far for the National Fire and Fire Surrogate study (FFS). Highlights summarize work that has been published within the last four years (2003-2006), primarily in theses, proceedings, general technical…
Year Published:
Organizations managing forest land often make fire management decisions that seem overly risk-averse in relation to their stated goals for ecosystem restoration, protection of sensitive species and habitats, and protection of water and timber…
Year Published:
Consistently successful decision making can make or break an individual or an organization. Perhaps counter intuitively, individuals who repeatedly make effective, successful decisions are not necessarily those who have the most information or spend…
Year Published:
Powerpoint presentation MODIS Applications in 2003 Fire Management
Year Published:
This book was published following a conference on naturalistic decision making held in Stockholm in 2000. Naturalistic decision making (NDM) is a subset of decision making theory that focuses on situations where there are ill-structured problems;…
Year Published:
Gonzales attempts to answer the question of why, in life threatening events, do some people survive and others die? In a series of true-life stories about people who have had skills and behaviors of “miraculous endurance” or who have met “sudden…
Year Published:
The Columbia Accident Review Board’s (CAIB) investigation of the February 1, 2003 loss of the space shuttle Columbia lasted nearly 7 months. The loss of seven crew members and later, two debris searchers, lead to a thorough attempt to discover the…
Year Published:
Intuition is an important factor in decision making, equal to the roles of reading data and interpreting numbers. Klein defines intuition as “the way we translate our experiences into action”. Based upon his research, involving interviews with a…
Year Published:
Problem solvers need to examine the differences that exist between decisions and the approaches available for making decisions. This short article presents four types of decisions problem solvers face and offers recommendations for each. These types…
Year Published: