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The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews…
Author(s): M. Granger Morgan, Max Henrion
Year Published:

Focusing on the 1974 Trans World Airlines (TWA) Flight 514 crash, Tompkins discusses the National Transportation Safety Board’s (NTSB) investigation of the crash and points to communication between the pilot and controllers and communication between…
Author(s): Phillip K. Tompkins
Year Published:

Military misfortunes are complex and involve not only individual failures in judgment or action, but also organizational failures rooted in the values each military organization upholds. This book uses examples from several military battles to…
Author(s): Eliot A. Cohen, John Gooch
Year Published:

This chapter overviews the history of hazard management in the United States, and defines what constitutes a “disaster” by federal standards. Popkin provides a history of federal and state policies and programs established and maintained in the…
Author(s): Roy S. Popkin
Year Published:

Many organizations are faced with unavoidable dangers that may harm employees during their regular work. However, despite organizational efforts, it is often unrealistic for employees to be responsible for avoiding all possible risk. Employees must…
Author(s): Douglas MacLean, Claudia Mills
Year Published:

Organizations often suffer because workers and managers avoid embarrassment by turning a blind eye toward mistakes. This book focuses on errors that are consciously buried in order to avoid situations that might damage individual reputations. Using…
Author(s): Chris Argyris
Year Published: