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Predicting risks of uncharacteristic wildfires: application of the risk assessment process
The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) mandates that the U.S. Forest Service (USFS) conduct an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) as its fire management policy evolves to cope with a legacy of over 100 years of fire suppression on national…
Author(s): Anne Fairbrother, Jessica G. Turnley
Year Published:

Accepting uncertainty, assessing risk: decision quality in managing wildfire, forest resource values, and new technology
The risks, uncertainties, and social conflicts surrounding uncharacteristic wildfire and forest resource values have defied conventional approaches to planning and decision-making. Paradoxically, the adoption of technological innovations such as…
Author(s): Jeffrey G. Borchers
Year Published:

Evaluating communication strategies and local partnerships: methods for reducing fuels, sharing responsibility, and building trust - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
The purpose of this project is to help identify and prioritize the elements of successful communication strategies so that agency personnel can adapt them to their own situation for meeting management objectives. Preferred outcomes include…
Author(s): Bruce A. Shindler
Year Published:

Shared mindfulness in cockpit crisis situations
Research reveals that human error contributes 60 to 80 percent of error in aviation accidents and disasters. Thus, despite innovations in technology and safety materials, individuals must be able to make speedy yet intelligent decisions and be able…
Author(s): Janice L. Krieger
Year Published:

Wildland fire hazard and risk: problems, definitions and context
The risks, hazards, and relative severity of wildland fires are presented here within the ecological context of historical natural fire regimes, time, space, and process. As the public dialogue on the role and impacts of wildland fire increases, it…
Author(s): Colin C. Hardy
Year Published:

The challenge of quantitative risk analysis for wildland fire
Quantitative fire risk analysis depends on characterizing and combining fire behavior probabilities and effects. Fire behavior probabilities are different from fire occurrence statistics (historic numbers or probabilities of discovered ignitions)…
Author(s): Mark A. Finney
Year Published:

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