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Effective fire prevention requires a better understanding of the patterns and causes of fire ignition. In this study, we focus on the interacting factors known to influence fire ignition risk, such as the type of vegetation, topographical features…
Author(s): María Calviño-Cancela, María L. Chas-Amil, Eduardo D. García-Martínez, Julia Touza
Year Published:

Relational Risk Assessment and Management (RRAM) is about developing a new set of concepts and rapid assessment tools for assessing risk for problems that occur in inter-agency communication and coordination on complex fire events. Failures in…
Author(s): Branda Nowell, Sarah M. McCaffrey, Toddi A. Steelman
Year Published:

Characterizing the impacts of wildland fire and fire suppression is critical information for fire management decision-making. Here, we focus on decisions related to the rare larger and longer-duration fire events, where the scope and scale of…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Francisco Rodriguez y Silva, David E. Calkin, Michael S. Hand
Year Published:

Markov decision process models were extended to reflect some consequences of the risk attitude of forestry decision makers. One approach consisted of maximizing the expected value of a criterion subject to an upper bound on the variance or,…
Author(s): Joseph Buongiorno, Mo Zhou, Craig Johnston
Year Published:

Given the expanding vulnerability of human populations and natural systems, management professionals are ever more frequently called upon to apply natural hazard modeling in decision support. When scientists enter into predictive services, they…
Author(s): Karen L. Riley, Matthew P. Thompson, Peter Webley, Kevin D. Hyde
Year Published:

The impacts of wildfires have increased in recent decades because of historical forest and fire management, a rapidly changing climate, and an increasingly populated wildland urban interface. This increasingly complex fire environment highlights the…
Author(s): Christopher J. Dunn, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

As climate change has contributed to longer fire seasons and populations living in fire-prone ecosystems increase, wildfires have begun to affect a growing number of people. As a result, interest in understanding the wildfire evacuation decision…
Author(s): Sarah M. McCaffrey, Robyn S. Wilson, Avishek Konar
Year Published:

Modeling can play a critical role in assessing and mitigating risks posed by natural hazards. These modeling efforts generally aim to characterize the occurrence, intensity, and potential consequences of natural hazards. Uncertainties surrounding…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Jord J. Warmink
Year Published:

A growing body of research indicates that communities at risk from wildfire differ in terms of the local social context that influences adaptive planning, mitigations or collective actions. Less work has attempted to document critical differences in…
Author(s): Travis B. Paveglio, Max W. Nielsen-Pincus, Jesse Abrams, Cassandra Moseley
Year Published:

During active fire incidents, decisions regarding where and how to safely and effectively deploy resources to meet management objectives are often made under rapidly evolving conditions, with limited time to assess management strategies or for…
Author(s): Christopher D. O'Connor, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
Year Published:

Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview…
Author(s): Karen L. Riley, Matthew P. Thompson, Peter Webley, Kevin D. Hyde
Year Published:

The large mediatic coverage of recent massive wildfires across the world has emphasized the vulnerability of freshwater resources. The extensive hydrogeomorphic effects from a wildfire can impair the ability of watersheds to provide safe drinking…
Author(s): Francois-Nicolas Robinne, Kevin D. Bladon, Carol Miller, Marc-Andre Parisien, Jerome Mathieu, Michael D. Flannigan
Year Published:

In this project we posed the question “Is the whole greater than the sum of its parts?” We focused on homeowner wildfire risk mitigation, community heterogeneity, and fire adaptedness. One of the unique aspects of this project was that the team was…
Author(s): Patricia A. Champ, Hannah Brenkert-Smith, James R. Meldrum, Christopher M. Barth, Travis Warziniack
Year Published:

This paper is the preface to a special issue focused on US wildfire response. The nine papers included build from a 2016 conference special session on monitoring, modelling and accountability of fire management policies and practices. Here we…
Author(s): Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
Year Published:

A changing climate, changing development and land use patterns, and increasing pressures on ecosystem services raise global concerns over growing losses associated with wildland fires. New management paradigms acknowledge that fire is inevitable and…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

Expansion of the wildland–urban interface (WUI) and the increasing size and number of wildfires has policy-makers and wildfire managers seeking ways to reduce wildfire risk in communities located near fire-prone forests. It is widely acknowledged…
Author(s): Christine Olsen, Jeffrey D. Kline, Alan A. Ager, Keith A. Olsen, Karen C. Short
Year Published:

The primary theme of our study is the cost-effectiveness of fuel treatment at multiple scales, addressing the question of whether fuel treatments can be justified on the basis of saved suppression costs. Our study was designed to track the influence…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Karen L. Riley, Dan R. Loeffler, Jessica R. Haas
Year Published:

Wildfire risk assessment is increasingly being adopted to support federal wildfire management decisions in the United States. Existing decision support systems, specifically the Wildland Fire Decision Support System (WFDSS), provide a rich set of…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Joe H. Scott, Michael S. Hand
Year Published:

Modeling can play a critical role in assessing and mitigating risks posed by natural hazards. These modeling efforts generally aim to characterize the occurrence, intensity, and potential consequences of natural hazards. Uncertainties surrounding…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Jord J. Warmink
Year Published:

We characterized wildfire transmission and exposure within a matrix of large land tenures (federal, state, and private) surrounding 56 communities within a 3.3 million ha fire prone region of central Oregon US. Wildfire simulation and network…
Author(s): Alan A. Ager, Cody Evers, Michelle A. Day, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Ana M. G. Barros, Max W. Nielsen-Pincus
Year Published: