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The objective of this project is to conduct a diagnostic analysis of the variations in climate that govern the characteristics of the fire season in the western United States on intra-annual through decadal and longer time scales. We propose a…
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The Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center has been routinely making regional forecasts of atmospheric elements and fire danger indices since 27 September 1997. This study evaluates these forecasts using selected remote automated weather…
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This 3-year research project is identifying the climate drivers of regional fire and fuel dynamics in the Northern Rockies in the past, present, and future. We are identifying regional fire years from two sources: multicentury tree-ring…
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The Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center has been routinely making regional forecasts of atmospheric elements and fire danger indices since 27 September 1997. This study evaluates these forecasts using selected remote automated weather…
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One major source of uncertainty in fire behavior and fire behavior modeling is the spatial variation in wind fields. Mountainsides, valleys, ridges, and the fire itself, influence both the speed and direction of wind flows. Small scale surface wind…
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A need exists for a simple computer program to determine surface and canopy fuel quantities (load, bulk density, depth) and qualities (fire behavior fuel model, fire-carrying fuel type) from a variety of fuel inventory data sources. In addition,…
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The project is concerned with modeling the long-term effects of landscape fuel treatment patterns on wildfire sizes and severity. The work was initiated based on theoretical fuel treatment patterns that appeared effective at changing fire growth…
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