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Climate and wildfire in the western United States
A 21-yr gridded monthly fire-starts and acres-burned dataset from U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service, and Bureau of Indian Affairs fire reports recreates the seasonality and interannual variability of wildfire in…
Author(s): Anthony L. Westerling, Timothy J. Brown, Alexander Gershunov, Daniel R. Cayan, M. D. Dettinger
Year Published:

Assessing canopy fuel stratum characteristics in crown fire prone fuel types of western North America
Application of crown fire behavior models in fire management decision-making have been limited by the difficulty of quantitatively describing fuel complexes, specifically characteristics of the canopy fuel stratum. To estimate canopy fuel stratum…
Author(s): Martin E. Alexander, Ronald H. Wakimoto
Year Published:

Comparison of 2-D wind fields and simulated wildland fire growth
The paper discusses wildfire growth simulated by the FARSITE model using high-resolution wind fields over complex terrain extracted from operational runs of the MM5 weather forecast model supported by the USDA FS Rocky Mountain Center (RMC: http://…
Author(s): Karl F. Zeller, Ned Nikolov, John S. Snook, Mark A. Finney, Jason M. Forthofer
Year Published:

Predicting surface winds in complex terrain for use in fire spread models
Fire behavior predictions and forecasts are vital to tactical planning on wildland firefighting incidents. One major source of uncertainty in fire behavior predictions is spatial variation in the wind fields used in the fire models. In most cases…
Author(s): Jason M. Forthofer, Bret W. Butler, Kyle S. Shannon, Mark A. Finney, Larry S. Bradshaw, Richard D. Stratton
Year Published:

Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana
The Haines Index, introduced by Haines (1988) as the Lower Atmosphere Severity Index, is designed to gauge how readily the lower mid-troposphere (500 to 4500 m AGL) will spur an otherwise fairly predictable fire to become erratic and unmanageable.…
Author(s): Brian E. Potter, Scott L. Goodrick
Year Published:

An initial analysis of relationships between 2- and 10-minute averaged winds at 10, 6, and 1.8 meters: implications for fire behavior and danger applications
Recently there has been discussion in the National Wildland Fire Coordination Group (NWCG) fire danger and fire weather working teams about the impact of observations from different anemometer heights and more importantly, averaging times, on inputs…
Author(s): Larry S. Bradshaw, Eugene Petrescu, Isaac C. Grenfell
Year Published:

Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger
The fire season of 2000 was used as a case study to assess the value of increasing mesoscale model resolution for fire weather and fire danger forecasting. With a domain centered on Western Montana and Northern Idaho, MM5 simulations were run at 36…
Author(s): Jeanne L. Hoadley, Miriam L. Rorig, Kenneth Westrick, Larry S. Bradshaw, Sue A. Ferguson, Scott L. Goodrick, Paul A. Werth
Year Published:

Statistical forecasts of the 2003 western wildfire season using canonical correlation analysis
Experimental forecasts for the 2003 fire season indicate low area burned in most western deserts and basins, high area burned in the southern Rocky Mountains and at higher elevations in Arizona and New Mexico, and mid to high area burned in the…
Author(s): Anthony L. Westerling, Alexander Gershunov, Daniel R. Cayan
Year Published:

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