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Seasonal changes in the climatic potential for very large wildfires (VLWF > or = 50,000 ac ~20,234 ha) across the western contiguous United States are projected over the 21st century using generalized linear models and downscaled climate…
Author(s): E. Natasha Stavros, John T. Abatzoglou, Donald McKenzie, Narasimhan K. Larkin
Year Published:

We used a database capturing large wildfires (> 405 ha) in the western U.S. to document regional trends in fire occurrence, total fire area, fire size, and day of year of ignition for 1984-2011. Over the western U.S. and in a majority of…
Author(s): Philip E. Dennison, Simon C. Brewer, James D. Arnold, Max A. Moritz
Year Published:

Despite a strong anthropogenic fingerprint on 20th Century wildland fire activity in the American West, climate remains a main driver. A better understanding of the spatiotemporal variability in fire-climate interactions is therefore crucial for…
Author(s): Valerie Trouet, Alan H. Taylor, Eugene R. Wahl, Carl N. Skinner
Year Published:

Widespread synchronous wildfires driven by climatic variation, such as those that swept western North America during 1996, 2000, and 2002, can result in major environmental and societal impacts. Understanding relationships between continental-scale…
Author(s): Thomas Kitzberger, Peter M. Brown, Emily K. Heyerdahl, Thomas W. Swetnam, Thomas T. Veblen
Year Published:

The objective of this project is to conduct a diagnostic analysis of the variations in climate that govern the characteristics of the fire season in the western United States on intra-annual through decadal and longer time scales. We propose a…
Author(s): Steven W. Hostetler, Patrick J. Bartlein, Allen M. Solomon, J. O. Holman, Richard T. Busing, Sarah L. Shafer
Year Published:

This 3-year research project is identifying the climate drivers of regional fire and fuel dynamics in the Northern Rockies in the past, present, and future. We are identifying regional fire years from two sources: multicentury tree-ring…
Author(s): Penelope Morgan, Emily K. Heyerdahl, Carol Miller, Matthew G. Rollins
Year Published:

Tree-ring reconstructed summer drought was examined in relation to the occurrence of 15 fires in the Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness Area (SBW). The ten largest fire years between 1880 and 1995 were selected from historical fire atlas data; five…
Author(s): Kurt F. Kipfmueller, Thomas W. Swetnam
Year Published: