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Fixing a snag in carbon emissions estimates from wildfires

Author(s): Jeffrey E. Stenzel, Kristina J. Bartowitz, Melannie D. Hartman, James A. Lutz, Crystal A. Kolden, Alistair M. S. Smith, Beverly E. Law, Mark E. Swanson, Andrew J. Larson, William J. Parton, Tara W. Hudiburg
Year Published: 2019

Wildfire is an essential earth‐system process, impacting ecosystem processes and the carbon cycle. Forest fires are becoming more frequent and severe, yet gaps exist in the modeling of fire on vegetation and carbon dynamics. Strategies for reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from wildfires include increasing tree harvest, largely based on the public assumption that fires burn live forests to the ground, despite observations indicating that less than 5% of mature tree biomass is actually consumed. This misconception is also reflected though excessive combustion of live trees in models. Here, we show that regional emissions estimates using widely‐implemented combustion coefficients are 59‐83% higher than emissions based on field observations. Using unique field datasets from before and after wildfires and an improved ecosystem model, we provide strong evidence that these large overestimates can be reduced by using realistic biomass combustion factors and by accurately quantifying biomass in standing dead trees that decompose over decades to centuries after fire (‘snags’). Most model development focuses on area burned; our results reveal that accurately representing combustion is also essential for quantifying fire impacts on ecosystems. Using our improvements, we find that western U.S. forest fires have emitted 232 ± 62 Tg CO2 (~half of alternative estimates) over the last 17 years, which is minor compared to 4,364 Tg CO2 from fossil fuels across the region.

Citation: Stenzel, Jeffrey E.; Bartowitz, Kristina J.; Hartman, Melannie D.; Lutz, James A.; Kolden, Crystal A.; Smith, Alistair M.S.; Law, Beverly E.; Swanson, Mark E.; Larson, Andrew J.; Parton, William J.; Hudiburg, Tara W. 2019. Fixing a snag in carbon emissions estimates from wildfires. Global Change Biology 25(11):3985-3994. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14716|
Topic(s): Fuels, Smoke & Air Quality, Smoke Emissions
Ecosystem(s): None
Document Type: Book or Chapter or Journal Article
NRFSN number: 20432
FRAMES RCS number: 57994
Record updated: Dec 11, 2019