Fuel Treatments & Effects
NRFSN number: 12724
Record updated: May 24, 2018
Fuel treatment effectiveness and non-treatment risks can be estimated from the probability of fire occurrence. Using extensive fire records for western US Forest Service lands, we estimate fuel treatments have a mean probability of 2.0-7.9% of encountering moderate- or high-severity fire during an assumed 20-year period of reduced fuels.
Rhodes, Jonathan J.; William L. Baker. 2008. Fire probability, fuel treatment effectiveness and ecological tradeoffs in Western U.S. public forests. The Open Forest Science Journal. 1: 1-7.