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A JFSP Fire Science Exchange Network
Bringing People Together & Sharing Knowledge in the Northern Rockies

Strategic Risk

This type of risk includes analyses that inform strategies to meet organizational objectives, including probability, consequence, and relative importance. Tools include risk assessments, NEPA, LRMP, and SFP.

Upcoming Events

None.

Past Events

Syntheses

Publications/Reports

2020 Fostering collective action to reduce wildfire risk across property boundaries in the American West
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Susan Charnley, Erin C. Kelly, A. Paige Fischer
2019 Cross-boundary wildfire and community exposure: A framework and application in the western U.S.
Technical Report or White Paper
Alan A. Ager, Michelle A. Day, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Rachel M. Houtman, Chris Ringo, Cody Evers
2017 Uncertainty and probability in wildfire management decision support: An example from the United States [Chapter 4]
Technical Report or White Paper
Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Joe H. Scott, Michael S. Hand
2017 Towards enhanced risk management: planning, decision making and monitoring of US wildfire response
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
2017 An empirical machine learning method for predicting potential fire control locations for pre-fire planning and operational fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher D. O'Connor, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
2017 A framework for developing safe and effective large-fire response in a new fire management paradigm
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher J. Dunn, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin
2017 A review of challenges to determining and demonstrating efficiency of large fire management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Francisco Rodriguez y Silva, David E. Calkin, Michael S. Hand
2016 Risk management: core principles and practices, and their relevance to wildland fire
Technical Report or White Paper
Matthew P. Thompson, Donald G. MacGregor, David E. Calkin
2016 Wildfire risk as a socioecological pathology
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Paige Fischer, Thomas A. Spies, Toddi A. Steelman, Cassandra Moseley, Bart R. Johnson, John D. Bailey, Alan A. Ager, Patrick S. Bourgeron, Susan Charnley, Brandon M. Collins, Jeffrey D. Kline, Jessica E. Leahy, Jeremy S. Littell, James D.A. Millington, Max W. Nielsen-Pincus, Christine Olsen, Travis B. Paveglio, Christopher I. Roos, David M. J. S. Bowman
2016 Getting ahead of the wildfire problem: quantifying and mapping management challenges and opportunities
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher D. O'Connor, Matthew P. Thompson, Francisco Rodriguez y Silva
2016 Resolving future fire management conflicts using multicriteria decision making
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Don A. Driscoll, Michael Bode, Ross A. Bradstock, David A. Keith, Trent D. Penman, Owen F. Price
2016 Application of wildfire risk assessment results to wildfire response planning in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Phil Bowden, April Brough, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, Alan H. Taylor, Jessica R. Haas
2015 Development and application of a geospatial wildfire exposure and risk calculation tool
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Jessica R. Haas, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, Joe H. Scott, Paul G. Langowski, Elise M. Bowne, David E. Calkin
2015 A mixed integer program to model spatial wildfire behavior and suppression placement decisions
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Erin J. Belval, Yu Wei, Michael Bevers
2015 Emerging concepts in wildfire risk assessment and management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott, Matthew P. Thompson
2014 Understanding stochastic wildfire simulation results
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott
2014 Assessing the expected effects of wildfire on vegetation condition on the Bridger-Teton National Forest, Wyoming, USA
Technical Report or White Paper
Joe H. Scott, Don Helmbrecht, Matthew P. Thompson
2014 Predicting wildfire ignitions, escapes, and large fire activity using Predictive Service’s 7-Day Fire Potential Outlook in the western USA
Conference Proceedings
Karen L. Riley, Crystal S. Stonesifer, Haiganoush K. Preisler, David E. Calkin
2013 Decision making for wildfires: a guide for applying a risk management process at the incident level
Technical Report or White Paper
Mary A. Taber, Lisa M. Elenz, Paul G. Langowski
2013 Assessing watershed-wildfire risks on national forest system lands in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Joe H. Scott, Paul G. Langowski, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, Jessica R. Haas, Elise M. Bowne
2013 Integrated wildfire risk assessment: framework development and application on the Lewis and Clark National Forest in Montana, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Joe H. Scott, Don Helmbrecht, David E. Calkin
2013 A polygon-based modeling approach to assess exposure of resources and assets to wildfire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, Joe H. Scott, Jeffrey D. Kaiden, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day
2013 Risk preferences in strategic wildfire decision making: a choice experiment with U.S. wildfire managers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew J. Wibbenmeyer, Michael S. Hand, David E. Calkin, Tyron J. Venn, Matthew P. Thompson
2012 Probabilistic assessment of wildfire hazard and municipal watershed exposure
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Joe H. Scott, Don Helmbrecht, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Kate Marcille
2011 Integrated national-scale assessment of wildfire risk to human and ecological values
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Mark A. Finney, Alan A. Ager, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day
2011 Uncertainty and risk in wildland fire management: a review
Book or Chapter or Journal Article, Synthesis
Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin
2011 A real-time risk assessment tool supporting wildland fire decisionmaking
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Mark A. Finney, Kevin D. Hyde
2011 Advancing effects analysis for integrated, large-scale wildfire risk assessment
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin, Julie W. Gilbertson-Day, Alan A. Ager
2011 A simulation of probabilistic wildfire risk components for the continental United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney, Charles W. McHugh, Isaac C. Grenfell, Karen L. Riley, Karen C. Short
2010 Managing risk in government: an introduction to enterprise risk management
Technical Report or White Paper
Karen Hardy
2005 Predicting risks of uncharacteristic wildfires: application of the risk assessment process
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anne Fairbrother, Jessica G. Turnley
2005 Wildland fire hazard and risk: problems, definitions and context
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Colin C. Hardy
2005 Can behavioral decision theory explain risk-averse fire management decisions?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lynn A. Maguire, Elizabeth A. Albright
2004 Probability based models for estimation of wildfire risk
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Haiganoush K. Preisler, David R. Brillinger, Robert E. Burgan, John W. Benoit
2003 The spatial context of fire: a new approach for predicting fire occurrence
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Carol Miller
2003 The spatial context of fire: a new approach for predicting fire occurrence
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Carol Miller
2000 Sequential use of simulation and optimization in analysis and planning
Conference Proceedings
Hans R. Zuuring, Jimmie D. Chew, J. Greg Jones
1988 Economic efficiency and risk character of fire management programs, northern Rocky Mountains
Technical Report or White Paper
Thomas J. Mills, Frederick W. Bratten