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HomeFire Behavior

Weather

This subtopic includes publications that explain how weather affects ignition and fire behavior. Effects of lightning, wind, moisture conditions, and solar heating on fire behavior are included here.

Upcoming Events

None.

Past Events

13th Fire and Forest Meteorology Virtual Symposium
May 11, 2021 to May 13, 2021
2021 Fire Weather Research Workshop
April 8, 2021 to April 9, 2021
Long-Duration Fire and Re-Burn Effects in Yellowstone National Park
October 16, 2018 to October 17, 2018
12th Fire and Forest Meteorology Symposium
May 15, 2018 to May 18, 2018

Webinars & Recorded Media

Webinars

Introduction to 'Compare Weather' Functions in IFTDSS
Jun 26, 2021
Kim Ernstrom, Caroline Noble, Brianna Schueller
Wildfire Wednesdays: It Takes a Village!
Mar 17, 2021
Ariel D. Cowan, John Rizza, Amanda Stamper Rau, Aaron Groth, Daniel Leavell, Katherine Wollstein, Chris Adlam
Colorado’s Record-setting 2020 Fire Season in the Context of the Past 6000 Years
Mar 5, 2021
Philip E. Higuera
Weather and Climate Perspectives on the Historic 2020 Colorado Drought and Wildfires
Feb 16, 2021
Russ S. Schumacher
The Need for Fundamental Wildfire Behavior Research in the Context of the 2020 Fire Season in the Western
Feb 8, 2021
The Need for Fundamental Wildfire Behavior Research in the Context of the 2020 Fire Season in the Western U.S.
Feb 8, 2021
Sara S. McAllister
The need for fundamental wildfire behavior research in the context of the 2020 fire season in the Western U.S
Feb 8, 2021
Sara S. McAllister
The 10% Rule of Thumb for Estimating Wildfire ROS from Wind Speed: Derivation and Limits of Application
Jan 27, 2021
Miguel G. Cruz, Martin E. Alexander
Wildfire Futures: Potential Paths for Change
Jan 19, 2021
Toddi A. Steelman
USFS-IWFAQRP- New Smoke Weather Products
Dec 17, 2020
Bret Anderson
Fires of Unusual Size and the Weather
Nov 19, 2020
Brian E. Potter
2020 Fall Fire Environment Post Season Lessons Learned
Nov 4, 2020
Thomas T. Lindley, Robert Ziel, Casey Teske, William Matt Jolly, Shelby Law
Effects of Policy Change on Wildland Fire Management Strategies
Oct 22, 2020
Jesse Young
An Introduction to the New U.S. National Fire Danger Rating
Feb 5, 2020
William Matt Jolly
Climatic Controls on Post-fire Ponderosa Pine and Douglas-fir Regeneration and Growth
May 7, 2019
Kimberley T. Davis
WeatherSHIELD: a System for Forecasting Fire Weather and Indices
Oct 23, 2018
Aaron Stacey
Modeling and Mapping the Potential for High Severity Fire in the Western U.S.
Oct 10, 2018
Sean A. Parks
Part 3. Wildland fire, smoke & roadway visibility series: Planned Burn (PB) Piedmont Web Tool - Estimating Superfog potential from Smoldering Combustion
Jun 29, 2017
Part 2. Wildland fire, smoke & roadway visibility series: Weather information and tools available to stay ahead of superfog events
Jun 22, 2017
Gary M. Curcio
Part 1. Wildland fire, smoke & roadway visibility series: Superfog: how it forms, where it forms, where it goes, what to do
Jun 15, 2017
An Assessment of Temperature and RH from a Variety of Weather Meters
May 23, 2017
Charles W. McHugh
A summary of fire season 2016 in Oregon and Washington
Dec 14, 2016
John Saltenberger
Transitioning from a small fire: fire behavior driving episodic fire growth after 1988 in Yellowstone National Park
Oct 6, 2016
Roy A. Renkin
Comparison of sling psychrometer to digital weather meters
Apr 22, 2015
Charles W. McHugh
Predicting local smoke dispersion during low-intensity wildland fires in forested environments
May 7, 2014
Warren Heilman
Elements of the National Weather Service fire weather forecast
Mar 5, 2014
Casey Sullivan
Beyond the stability index: fire management and forecasting tools for air quality, weather and climate impacts of prescribed fires
Oct 15, 2013
Scott Spak
Introduction to WFDSS - air quality tools
Dec 12, 2011
Miriam Rogers
WFDSS modeling and weather
Dec 8, 2011
Tom St. Clair

Storymaps

Fire Season 2020 Overview
Jun 21, 2021
Dan Borsum, Krista Carrothers

Videos

FSPro settings
Nov 29, 2017
Mark A. Finney
Why use FSPro? Interview with Mark Finney
Nov 29, 2017
Mark A. Finney
NFDRS Episode 2 - NFDRS 2016: A Quick Introduction
Jul 27, 2016
A dynamic, severe fire weather potential mobile mapping program
Jul 22, 2016
William Matt Jolly
NFDRS Episode 3 - Fire Weather Data Collection and Distribution
Jul 20, 2016
Burn boss stories
Jan 6, 2012
Andy Norman, Dan Buckley, JoAnn Larsen, Ben Jacobs, Mac McFarland
Learning From The Experts: Margit Bucher - Another Pair of Eyes
Nov 29, 2011
Margit Bucher
Introduction to the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System
Sep 28, 2011
Stephen W. Taylor, Bruce D. Lawson

Research Briefs

2011 Detailed point weather forecasts: how to get them when you need them
Alan J. Long et al.
2007 The fire-climate connection
Gail Wells
1999 Critical fire weather patterns of the United States
1993 Probability of fire-stopping precipitation events
Donald J. Latham et al.
1979 Progress toward locating lightning fires
Donald J. Latham

Syntheses

2016 Effects of drought on forests and rangelands in the United States: a comprehensive science synthesis

Publications/Reports

2021 Record‐setting climate enabled the extraordinary 2020 fire season in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Philip E. Higuera, John T. Abatzoglou
2021 Adding to Fire Fighter Safety by Including Real-Time Radar Data in Short-Range Forecasts of Thunderstorm-Induced Wind Shifts
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gary Achtemeier, Scott L. Goodrick
2021 Crowded and Thirsty: Fire Exclusion Leads to Greater Drought Sensitivity in Mixed-Conifer Forests
Technical Report or White Paper
Andrea Watts, Frederick C. Meinzer, Thomas A. Spies, Andrew G. Merschel, Steven L. Voelker
2021 Fire from the Sky in the Anthropocene
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paulo A. Martins Fernandes, João A. Santos, Fernando Castedo-Dorado, Rui Almeida
2021 Weather affects post‐fire recovery of sagebrush‐steppe communities and model transferability among sites
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Cara Applestein, T. Trevor Caughlin, Matthew J. Germino
2021 Existing Improvements in Simulation of Fire–Wind Interaction and Its Effects on Structures
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Maryam Ghodrat, Farshad Shakeriaski, David James Nelson, Albert Simeoni
2021 Spatial analysis of wildfire incidence in the USA: the role of climatic spillovers
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Massimiliano Agovino, Massimiliano Cercielo, Aniello Ferraro, Antonio Garofalo
2021 Short-term impacts of 2017 western North American wildfires on meteorology, the atmosphere's energy budget, and premature mortality
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Diana N. Bernstein, Douglas S. Hamilton, Rosalie Krasnoff, Natalie M. Mahowald, David S. Connelly, Simone Tilmes, Peter G. M. Hess
2021 Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: fire size and stability
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Rachel Badlan, J. Sharples, Jason P. Evans, Richard H. D. McRae
2021 Objective identification of thunderstorm gust fronts in numerical weather prediction models for fire weather forecasting
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jim Bresch, Jordan G. Powers, Craig S. Schwartz, Ryan A. Sobash, Janice L. Coen
2021 Episodic occurrence of favourable weather constrains recovery of a cold desert shrubland after fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alexandra K. Urza, Peter J. Weisberg, David Board, Jeanne C. Chambers, Stanley G. Kitchen, Bruce A. Roundy
2021 Wetter environment and increased grazing reduced the area burned in northern Eurasia from 2002 to 2016
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Wei Min Hao, Matthew C. Reeves, L. Scott Baggett, Yves Balkanski, Philippe Ciais, Bryce L. Nordgren, Alexander P. Petkov, Rachel E. Corley, Florent Mouillot, Shawn P. Urbanski, Chao Yue
2021 Sensitivity of grass fires burning in marginal conditions to atmospheric turbulence
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alexandra K. Jonko, Kara M. Yedinak, Juliana L. Conley, Rodman Linn
2021 Multifidelity prediction in wildfire spread simulation: modeling, uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
M.M. Valero, Lluís Jofre, Ricardo Torres
2021 Downscaled GCM climate projections of fire weather over Victoria, Australia. Part 1*: evaluation of the MACA technique
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Scott Clark, Graham A. Mills, Timothy J. Brown, Sarah Harris, John T. Abatzoglou
2021 Increasing synchronous fire danger in forests of the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Caroline S. Juang, A. Park Williams, Crystal A. Kolden, Anthony L. Westerling
2021 Hillslope sediment fence catch efficiencies and particle sorting for post-fire rain storms
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Codie Wilson, Stephanie Kampf, Joseph W. Wagenbrenner, Lee H. MacDonald, Hunter Gleason
2021 Empirical analyses of the factors influencing fire severity in southeastern Australia
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David B. Lindenmayer, Chris Taylor, Wade Blanchard
2020 Earlier fall precipitation and low severity fire impacts on cheatgrass and sagebrush establishment
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Tara B. B. Bishop, Baylie C. Nusink, Rebecca Lee Molinari, Justin B. Taylor, Samuel B. St. Clair
2020 Evaluating the Ability of FARSITE to Simulate Wildfires Influenced by Extreme, Downslope Winds in Santa Barbara, California
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Katelyn Zigner, Leila M. V. Carvalho, Seth H. Peterson, Francis M. Fujioka, Gert-Jan Duine, Charles Jones, Dar A. Roberts, Max A. Moritz
2020 Use of NWP models to identify convective outflows for fire weather forecasting - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jordan G. Powers, Jim Bresch, Craig S. Schwartz, Janice L. Coen, Ryan A. Sobash
2020 Linking forest flammability and plant vulnerability to drought
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Rachael H. Nolan, Chris J. Blackman, Víctor Resco de Dios, Brendan Choat, Belinda Medlyn, Ximeng Li, Ross A. Bradstock, Matthias M. Boer
2020 Fire and rain are one: extreme rainfall events predict wildfire extent in an arid grassland
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Elise M. Verhoeven, Brad R. Murray, Christopher R. Dickman, Glenda M. Wardle, Aaron C. Greenville
2020 Fire deficit increases wildfire risk for many communities in the Canadian boreal forest
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Marc-Andre Parisien, Quinn E. Barber, Kelvin G. Hirsch, Christopher A. Stockdale, Sandy Erni, Xianli Wang, Dominique Arseneault, Sean A. Parks
2020 Flash Characteristics and Precipitation Metrics of Western U.S. Lightning-Initiated Wildfires from 2017
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brittany R. MacNamara, Christopher J. Schultz, Henry E. Fuelberg
2020 Wildfire and drought moderate the spatial elements of tree mortality
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Tucker J. Furniss, Andrew J. Larson, Van R. Kane, James A. Lutz
2020 Weather, Risk, and Resource Orders on Large Wildland Fires in the Western US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jude Bayham, Erin J. Belval, Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, Crystal S. Stonesifer, David E. Calkin
2020 Synoptic weather patterns for large wildfires in the northwestern United States-a climatological analysis using three classification methods
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Shiyuan Zhong, Lejiang Yu, Warren Heilman, Xindi Bian, Hannah Fromm
2020 Reducing wooden structure and wildland-urban interface fire disaster risk through dynamic risk assessment and management
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Torgrim Log, Vigdis Vandvik, Liv G. Velle, Maria-Monika Metallinou
2020 Computational modeling of extreme wildland fire events: a synthesis of scientific understanding with applications to forecasting, land management, and firefighter safety
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Janice L. Coen, Wilfrid Schroeder, Scott Conway, Leland W. Tarnay
2020 Interaction of wind and cold-season hydrologic processes on erosion from complex topography following wildfire in sagebrush steppe
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Samantha P. Vega, C. Jason Williams, Erin S. Brooks, Frederick B. Pierson, Eva K. Strand, Peter R. Robichaud, Robert E. Brown, Mark S. Seyfried, Kathleen A. Lohse, Kayla Glossner, Jennifer L. Pierce, Clay Roehner
2020 Variable thinning and prescribed fire influence tree mortality and growth during and after a severe drought
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Eric E. Knapp, Alexis Bernal, Jeffrey M. Kane, Christopher J. Fettig, Malcolm P. North
2020 Anthropogenic and lightning-started fires are becoming larger and more frequent over a longer season length in the U.S.A.
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Megan E. Cattau, Carol A. Wessman, Adam L. Mahood, Jennifer Balch
2020 Warmer and drier fire seasons contribute to increases in area burned at high severity in western US forests from 1985‐2017
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sean A. Parks, John T. Abatzoglou
2020 LES simulation of terrain slope effects on wind enhancement by a point source fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Esmaeel Eftekharian, Maria Rashidi, Maryam Ghodrat, Yaping He, Kenny C.S. Kwok
2020 Verification of Red Flag Warnings across the Northwestern U.S. as Forecasts of Large Fire Occurrence
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Josh Clark, John T. Abatzoglou, Nicholas J. Nauslar, Alistair M. S. Smith
2020 Evaluation of Global Fire Weather Database reanalysis and short-term forecast products
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Robert Field
2020 Effect of weather forecast errors on fire growth model projections
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Trent D. Penman, Dan Ababei, Jane G. Cawson, Brett Cirulis, Thomas J. Duff, W. Swedosh, J. E. Hilton
2020 The Hot-Dry-Windy Index: A new tool for forecasting fire weather
Technical Report or White Paper
Andrea Watts, Brian E. Potter, Joseph J. Charney, Alan F. Srock
2020 Predicting forest recovery following high-severity fire - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Carmen L. Tubbesing, Scott L. Stephens
2020 Evaluating the 10% wind speed rule of thumb for estimating a wildfire's forward rate of spread against an extensive independent set of observations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miguel G. Cruz, Martin E. Alexander, Paulo M. Fernandes, Musa Kilinc, Ângelo Sil
2020 Downscaling fire weather extremes from historical and projected climate models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Piyush Jain, Mari R. Tye, Debasish Paimazumder, Michael D. Flannigan
2020 Fire weather drives daily area burned and observations of fire behavior in mountain pine beetle affected landscapes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sarah J. Hart, Daniel L. Preston
2020 Forest management under megadrought: urgent needs at finer-scale and higher-intensity
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jason P. Field, David D. Breshears, John Bradford, Darin J. Law, Xiao Feng, Craig D. Allen
2020 Seasonality and trends in human- and lightning-caused wildfires ≥ 2 ha in Canada, 1959-2018
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sean C. P. Coogan, Xinli Cai, Piyush Jain, Michael D. Flannigan
2020 Assessment of HRRR model forecasts of convective outflows in the fire environment - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
John D. Horel, Erik T. Crosman, Adam K. Kochanski, Robert Ziel
2020 Exploring fire response to high wind speeds: fire rate of spread, energy release and flame residence time from fires burned in pine needle beds under winds up to 27 m s−1
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Bret W. Butler, Steve Quarles, Christine Standohar-Alfano, Murray Morrison, Daniel M. Jimenez, Paul Sopko, Cyle E. Wold, Larry S. Bradshaw, Loren Atwood, Justin Landon, Joseph J. O'Brien, Benjamin Hornsby, Natalie S. Wagenbrenner, Wesley G. Page
2020 Wildfire decision support tools: an exploratory study of use in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Claire Rapp, Emily Rabung, Robyn S. Wilson, Eric L. Toman
2020 Post-fire aspen (Populus tremuloides) regeneration varies in response to winter precipitation across a regional climate gradient
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Susan K. McIlroy, Douglas J. Shinneman
2020 Meteorological Profiling in the Fire Environment Using UAS
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Matthew J. Brewer, Craig B. Clements
2019 Wildfire detection and communication-aerospace applications-trade study
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Setrige W. Crawford, Kamran Eftekhari Shahroudi
2019 Interactions between wind and fire disturbance in forests: Competing amplifying and buffering effects
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeffery B. Cannon, Suzanne K. Henderson, Michael H. Bailey, Chris J. Peterson
2019 Spatial, Temporal and Electrical Characteristics of Lightning in Reported Lightning-Initiated Wildfire Events
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher J. Schultz, Nicholas J. Nauslar, J. Brent Wachter, Christopher R. Hain, Jordan R. Bell
2019 Season of fire influences seed dispersal by wind in a serotinous obligate seeding tree
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Bianca Dunker, C. Michael Bull, David A. Keith, Don A. Driscoll
2019 Calculation of critical water flow rates for wildfire suppression
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Greg Penney, Daryoush Habibi, Marcus Cattani, Murray Carter
2019 The FireFlux II experiment: a model-guided field experiment to improve understanding of fire–atmosphere interactions and fire spread
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Craig B. Clements, Adam K. Kochanski, Daisuke Seto, Braniff Davis, Christopher Camacho, Neil Lareau, Jonathan Contezac, Joseph C. Restaino, Warren Heilman, Steven K. Krueger, Bret W. Butler, Roger D. Ottmar, Robert E. Vihnanek, James Flynn, Jean-Baptiste Filippi, Toussaint Barboni, Dianne E. Hall, Jan Mandel, Mary Ann Jenkins, Joseph J. O'Brien, Benjamin Hornsby, Casey Teske
2019 Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sebastian Martinuzzi, Andrew J. Allstadt, Anna M. Pidgeon, Curtis H. Flather, William Matt Jolly, Volker C. Radeloff
2019 Impacts of growing-season climate on tree growth and post-fire regeneration in ponderosa pine and Douglas-fir forests
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lacey Hankin, Philip E. Higuera, Kimberley T. Davis, Solomon Z. Dobrowski
2019 Development and Evaluation of a Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes Solver in WindNinja for Operational Wildland Fire Applications
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Natalie S. Wagenbrenner, Jason M. Forthofer, Wesley G. Page, Bret W. Butler
2019 The impact of wildfires on particulate carbon in the western U.S.A
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Weeberb J. Requia, Brent A. Coull, Petros Koutrakis
2019 Net precipitation in burned and unburned subalpine forest stands after wildfire in the northern Rocky Mountains
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Chris H. S. Williams, Uldis Silins, Sheena A. Spencer, Michael J. Wagner, Micheal Stone, Monica B. Emelko
2019 Wildfire refugia in forests: severe fire weather and drought mute the influence of topography and fuel age
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Luke Collins, Andrew F. Bennett, Steven W.J. Leonard, Trent D. Penman
2019 Post‐fire forest regeneration shows limited climate tracking and potential for drought‐induced type conversion
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Derek J. N. Young, Chhaya M. Werner, Kevin R. Welch, Truman P. Young, Hugh Safford, Andrew Latimer
2019 Origins of abrupt change? Postfire subalpine conifer regeneration declines nonlinearly with warming and drying
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Winslow D. Hansen, Monica G. Turner
2019 On the merits of sparse surrogates for global sensitivity analysis of multi-scale nonlinear problems: application to turbulence and fire-spotting model in wildland fire simulators
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Andrea Trucchia, Vera N. Egorova, Gianni Pagnini, M. C. Rochoux
2018 Some requirements for simulating wildland fire behavior using insight from coupled weather-wildland fire models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Janice L. Coen
2018 Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western US forest wildfire activity
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Zachary A. Holden, Alan Swanson, Charles H. Luce, William Matt Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared W. Oyler, Dyer A. Warren, Russell A. Parsons, David L.R. Affleck
2018 Fine‐scale spatial climate variation and drought mediate the likelihood of reburning
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sean A. Parks, Marc-Andre Parisien, Lisa M. Holsinger, L. Scott Baggett, Carol Miller
2018 How do weather and terrain contribute to firefighter entrapments in Australia?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sébastien Lahaye, J. Sharples, Stuart Matthews, Simon Heemstra, Owen F. Price, Rachel Badlan
2018 Effects of fuels management on fire intensity, rate of spread, severity, and resultant forest structure within the 2013 Rim Fire landscape - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Brandon M. Collins, Jamie M. Lydersen, Van R. Kane, Nicholas A. Povak, Matthew L. Brooks, Douglas F. Smith
2018 Tree water balance drives temperate forest responses to drought
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. B. Berdanier, J. S. Clark
2018 Avian demographic responses to drought and fire: a community‐level perspective
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James F. Saracco, Stephen M. Fettig, George L. San Miguel, David W. Mehlman, Brent E. Thompson, Steven K. Albert
2018 The sensitivity of US wildfire occurrence to pre-season soil moisture conditions across ecosystems
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Daniel Jensen, John T. Reager, Brittany Zajic, Nick Rousseau, Matthew Rodell, Everett Hinkley
2018 An evaluation of NDFD weather forecasts for wildland fire behavior prediction
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Wesley G. Page, Natalie S. Wagenbrenner, Bret W. Butler, Jason M. Forthofer, Chris Gibson
2018 Biological and geophysical feedbacks with fire in the Earth system
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sally Archibald, Caroline E. R. Lehmann, Claire M. Belcher, William J. Bond, Ross A. Bradstock, Anne Laure Daniau, K. G. Dexter, Elisabeth J. Forrestel, M. Greve, Tianhua He, Steven I. Higgins, William A. Hoffmann, Byron B. Lamont, D. J. McGlinn, G. R. Moncrieff, Colin P. Osborne, Juli G. Pausas, Owen F. Price, Brad S. Ripley, Brendan M. Rogers, Dylan W. Schwilk, M. F. Simon, Merritt R. Turetsky, Guido R. Van der Werf, Amy E. Zanne
2018 Observations and predictability of gap winds in the Salmon River Canyon of Central Idaho, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Natalie S. Wagenbrenner, Jason M. Forthofer, Chris Gibson, Abby Indreland, Brian K. Lamb, Bret W. Butler
2018 Optimizing precipitation thresholds for best correlation between dry lightning and wildfires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brian Vant-Hull, Tollisha Thompson, William Koshak
2018 The weather conditions for desired smoke plumes at a FASMEE burn site
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Yongqiang Liu, Scott L. Goodrick, Gary Achtemeier
2018 Some Requirements for Simulating Wildland Fire Behavior Using Insight from Coupled Weather—Wildland Fire Models
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Janice L. Coen
2018 Evaluating the influence of prior burn mosaics on subsequent wildfire behavior, severity, and fire management options - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Susan J. Prichard, Paul F. Hessburg, Robert W. Gray, Nicholas A. Povak, R. Brion Salter, Camille Stevens-Rumann, Penelope Morgan
2018 Effect of woody debris on the rate of spread of surface fires in forest fuels in a combustion wind tunnel
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Andrew L. Sullivan, N. C. Surawski, Daniel A. Crawford, Richard J. Hurley, Liubov Volkova, Christopher J. Weston, Carl P. Meyer
2018 Human influences superseded climate to disrupt the 20th century fire regime in Jasper National Park, Canada
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Raphael D. Chavardes, Lori D. Daniels, Ze'ev Gedalof, David W. Andison
2018 Data Descriptor: TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958-2015
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Sean A. Parks, Katherine C. Hegewisch
2018 U.S. Geological Survey Sage-Grouse and Sagebrush Ecosystem Research Annual Report for 2018
Technical Report or White Paper
Steven E. Hanser
2018 Human-related ignitions concurrent with high winds promote large wildfires across the USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Jennifer Balch, Bethany A. Bradley, Crystal A. Kolden
2018 Climate change and future wildfire in the western USA: An ecological approach to nonstationarity
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeremy S. Littell, Donald McKenzie, Ho Yi Wan, Samuel A. Cushman
2018 Interpolation framework to speed up near-surface wind simulations for data-driven wildfire applications
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
O. Rios, W. Jahn, Elsa Pastor, M.M. Valero, E. Planas
2018 Landscape Topoedaphic Features Create Refugia from Drought and Insect Disturbance in a Lodgepole and Whitebark Pine Forest
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jennifer Cartwright
2018 The Haines Index – it’s time to revise it or replace it
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brian E. Potter
2018 The Hot-Dry-Windy Index: A New Fire Weather Index
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alan F. Srock, Joseph J. Charney, Brian E. Potter, Scott L. Goodrick
2018 Quantifying wildfire growth rates using smoke plume observations derived from weather radar
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Thomas J. Duff, Derek M. Chong, Trent D. Penman
2018 Wildland fires behaviour: wind effect versus Byram’s convective number and consequences upon the regime of propagation
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
D. Morvan, N. Frangieh
2017 How to generate and interpret fire characteristics charts for the U.S. fire danger rating system
Technical Report or White Paper
Faith A. Heinsch, Patricia L. Andrews, D. A. Tirmenstein
2017 Spatio-Temporal Linkages between Declining Arctic Sea-Ice Extent and Increasing Wildfire Activity in the Western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Knapp, Peter T. Soulé
2017 Towards improving wildland firefighter situational awareness through daily fire behaviour risk assessments in the US Northern Rockies and Northern Great Basin
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William Matt Jolly, Patrick H. Freeborn
2017 Evidence of fuels management and fire weather influencing fire severity in an extreme fire event
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jamie M. Lydersen, Brandon M. Collins, Matthew L. Brooks, John R. Matchett, Kristen L. Shive, Nicholas A. Povak, Van R. Kane, Douglas F. Smith
2017 Trend analysis of fire season length and extreme fire weather in North America between 1979 and 2015
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Piyush Jain, Xianli Wang, Michael D. Flannigan
2017 An improved canopy wind model for predicting wind adjustment factors and wildland fire behavior
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William J. Massman, Jason M. Forthofer, Mark A. Finney
2017 Climate adaption and post-fire restoration of a foundational perennial in cold desert: Insights from intraspecific variation in response to weather
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Martha M. Brabec, Matthew J. Germino, Bryce A. Richardson
2017 The normal fire environment—Modeling environmental suitability for large forest wildfires using past, present, and future climate normals
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Raymond J. Davis, Zhiqiang Yang, Andrew Yost, Cole Belongie, Warren B. Cohen
2017 Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: will area burned increase in a warming western USA?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Donald McKenzie, Jeremy S. Littell
2017 Human exposure and sensitivity to globally extreme wildfire events
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
David M. J. S. Bowman, Grant J. Williamson, John T. Abatzoglou, Crystal A. Kolden, Mark A. Cochrane, Alistair M. S. Smith
2016 Effects of drought on forests and rangelands in the United States: a comprehensive science synthesis
Synthesis, Technical Report or White Paper
2016 A stochastic mixed integer program to model spatial wildfire behavior and suppression placement decisions with uncertain weather
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Erin J. Belval, Yu Wei, Michael Bevers
2016 Controls on interannual variability in lightning-caused fire activity in the western US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Crystal A. Kolden, Jennifer Balch, Bethany A. Bradley
2016 Attribution of extreme weather events in the context of climate change - Report in brief
Technical Report or White Paper
Committee on Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution
2016 Contribution of cut-off lows to precipitation across the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou
2016 Ecohydrological implications of drought for forests in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
James M. Vose, Chelcy Ford Miniat, Charles H. Luce, Heidi Asbjornsen, Peter V. Caldwell, John L. Campbell, Gordon E. Grant, Daniel J. Isaak, Steven P. Loheide II, Ge Sun
2016 Recent advances and remaining uncertainties in resolving past and future climate effects on global fire activity
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A. Park Williams, John T. Abatzoglou
2016 Does prescribed fire promote resistance to drought in low elevation forests of the Sierra Nevada, California, USA?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Phillip J. van Mantgem, Anthony C. Caprio, Nathan L. Stevenson, Adrian J. Das
2016 Projected changes in cold hardiness zones and suitable overwinter ranges of perennial crops over the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lauren E. Parker, John T. Abatzoglou
2016 Closure to development of soil moisture drought index to characterize droughts
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mohammad Sohrabi, Jae H. Ryu, John T. Abatzoglou, John Tracy
2016 Charred forests accelerate snow albedo decay: parameterizing the post-fire radiative forcing on snow for three years following fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Kelly E. Gleason, Anne W. Nolin
2016 Spatial coherence of extreme precipitation events in the Northwestern United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lauren E. Parker, John T. Abatzoglou
2016 A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeremy S. Littell, David L. Peterson, Karen L. Riley, Yongqiang Liu, Charles H. Luce
2016 The effect of wind on burning rate of wood cribs
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sara S. McAllister, Mark A. Finney
2016 Development of high-resolution (250 m) historical daily gridded air temperature data using reanalysis and distributed sensor networks for the US Northern Rocky Mountains
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Zachary A. Holden, Alan Swanson, Anna E. Klene, John T. Abatzoglou, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Samuel A. Cushman, John Squires, Gretchen Moisen, Jared W. Oyler
2016 Weather, fuels, and topography impede wildland fire spread in western US landscapes
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Lisa M. Holsinger, Sean A. Parks, Carol Miller
2016 The Influence of Climate Model Biases on Projections of Aridity and Drought
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
2016 Fire weather conditions and fire-atmosphere interactions observed during low-intensity prescribed fires - Rxcadre 2012
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Craig B. Clements, Neil Lareau, Daisuke Seto, Jonathan Contezac, Braniff Davis, Casey Teske, Thomas J. Zajkowski, Andrew T. Hudak, Benjamin C. Bright, Matthew B. Dickinson, Bret W. Butler, Daniel M. Jimenez, J. Kevin Hiers
2016 Topographic and fire weather controls of contemporary fire refugia in forested ecosystems of northwestern North America
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Meg A. Krawchuk, Sandra L. Haire, Jonathan D. Coop, Marc-Andre Parisien, Ellen Whitman, Geneva W. Chong, Carol Miller
2015 Development of soil moisture drought index (SODI) to characterize droughts
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mohammad Sohrabi, Jae H. Ryu, John T. Abatzoglou, John Tracy
2015 A wildfire-relevant climatology of the convective environment of the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brian E. Potter, Matthew A. Anaya
2015 Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William Matt Jolly, Mark A. Cochrane, Patrick H. Freeborn, Zachary A. Holden, Timothy J. Brown, G.J. Williamson, David M. J. S. Bowman
2015 Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western U.S.
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A.C. Lute, John T. Abatzoglou, Katherine C. Hegewisch
2015 Modeling spatial and temporal dynamics of wind flow and potential fire behavior following a mountain pine beetle outbreak in a lodgepole pine forest
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Chad M. Hoffman, Rodman Linn, Russell A. Parsons, Carolyn Hull Sieg, Judith Winterkamp
2015 Forecasting integrated lightning and fuels ignition potentials in a system with real-time analysis of fire weather prediction accuracy
Technical Report or White Paper
Miriam L. Rorig, Stacy Drury
2015 Verification of Spot Fire Weather Forecasts
Technical Report or White Paper
John D. Horel, Timothy J. Brown
2015 Observations of distributed snow depth and snow duration within diverse forest structures in a maritime mountain watershed
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Susan E. Dickerson-Lange, James A. Lutz, Rolf Gersonde, Kael A. Martin, Jenna E. Forsyth, Jessica D. Lundquist
2015 Wildland fire as a self-regulating mechanism: the role of previous burns and weather in limiting fire progression
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Sean A. Parks, Lisa M. Holsinger, Carol Miller, Cara R. Nelson
2015 The changing strength and nature of fire-climate relationships in the northern Rocky Mountains, U.S.A., 1902-2008
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Philip E. Higuera, John T. Abatzoglou, Jeremy S. Littell, Penelope Morgan
2015 Implications of climate change on wind erosion of agricultural lands in the Columbia plateau
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
B.S. Sharratt, J. Tatarko, John T. Abatzoglou, F.A. Fox, D. Huggins
2015 Daily weather and other factors influencing burn severity in central Idaho and western Montana
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Donovan Birch, Penelope Morgan, Crystal A. Kolden, John T. Abatzoglou, Gregory K. Dillon, Andrew T. Hudak, Alistair M. S. Smith
2015 Seasonal reversal of the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on very large wildfire occurrence in the interior northwestern United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Renaud Barbero, John T. Abatzoglou, Timothy J. Brown
2015 The potential impact of regional climate change on fire weather in the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Ying Tang, Shiyuan Zhong, Lifeng Luo, Xindi Bian, Warren Heilman, Julie Winkler
2014 Fuel treatment prescriptions alter spatial patterns of fire severity around the wildland-urban interface during the Wallow Fire, Arizona, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Maureen C. Kennedy, Morris C. Johnson
2014 Questionable evidence of natural warming of the northwestern United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, David E. Rupp, Philip W. Mote
2014 Predicting wildfire ignitions, escapes, and large fire activity using Predictive Service’s 7-Day Fire Potential Outlook in the western USA
Conference Proceedings
Karen L. Riley, Crystal S. Stonesifer, Haiganoush K. Preisler, David E. Calkin
2014 Modeling very large-fire occurrences over the continental United States from weather and climate forcing
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Renaud Barbero, John T. Abatzoglou, E. Ashley Steel, Narasimhan K. Larkin
2014 Observed and projected changes in absolute temperature extremes across the contiguous United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Renaud Barbero
2014 Tracking interannual streamflow variability with drought indices in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Renaud Barbero, Jacob W. Wolf, Zachary A. Holden
2014 Extent of the rain-snow transition zone in the western U.S. under historic and projected climate
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
P. Zion Klos, Timothy E. Link, John T. Abatzoglou
2014 Role of extreme snowfall events in interannual variability of snowfall accumulation in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
A.C. Lute, John T. Abatzoglou
2014 Observed changes in false springs over the contiguous United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Alexander G. Peterson, John T. Abatzoglou
2014 Seasonal climate variability and change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, David E. Rupp, Philip W. Mote
2014 De-coupling seasonal changes in water content and dry matter to predict live conifer foliar moisture content
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
William Matt Jolly, Ann M. Hadlow, Kathleen Huguet
2014 Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
E. Natasha Stavros, John T. Abatzoglou, Donald McKenzie, Narasimhan K. Larkin
2014 A comparison of three approaches for simulating fine-scale surface winds in support of wildland fire management. Part II. An exploratory study of the effect of simulated winds on fire growth simulations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jason M. Forthofer, Bret W. Butler, Charles W. McHugh, Mark A. Finney, Larry S. Bradshaw, Richard D. Stratton, Kyle S. Shannon, Natalie S. Wagenbrenner
2014 Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
E. Natasha Stavros, John T. Abatzoglou, Narasimhan K. Larkin, Donald McKenzie, E. Ashley Steel
2014 A comparison of three approaches for simulating fine-scale surface winds in support of wildland fire management: Part I. Model formulation and comparison against measurements
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jason M. Forthofer, Bret W. Butler, Natalie S. Wagenbrenner
2014 Is proportion burned severely related to daily area burned?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Donovan Birch, Penelope Morgan, Crystal A. Kolden, Andrew T. Hudak, Alistair M. S. Smith
2013 Fire weather case study - Mann Gulch Fire, Montana
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Paul A. Werth
2013 The missing mountain water: slower westerlies decrease orographic enhancement in the Pacific Northwest USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Charles H. Luce, John T. Abatzoglou, Zachary A. Holden
2013 Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modeling
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou
2012 Climate extremes and their linkage to regional drought over Idaho, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mohammad Sohrabi, Jae H. Ryu, John T. Abatzoglou, John Tracy
2012 An evaluation of multi-scalar drought indices in Nevada and eastern California
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Daniel J. McEvoy, Justin L. Huntington, John T. Abatzoglou, Laura M. Edwards
2011 Influence of the PNA on declining mountain snowpack in the western United States
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou
2011 Changes in climatic water balance drive downhill shifts in plant species optimum elevations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Shawn M. Crimmins, Solomon Z. Dobrowski, Jonathan A. Greenberg, John T. Abatzoglou, Alison R. Mynsberge
2011 Empirical downscaling of daily minimum air temperature at very fine resolutions in complex terrain
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Zachary A. Holden, John T. Abatzoglou, Scott L. Baggett, Charles H. Luce
2011 Both topography and climate affected forest and woodland burn severity in two regions of the western US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Gregory K. Dillon, Zachary A. Holden, Penelope Morgan, Michael A. Crimmins, Emily K. Heyerdahl, Charles H. Luce
2010 Initialization of high resolution surface wind simulations using NWS gridded data
Conference Proceedings
Jason M. Forthofer, Bret W. Butler
2009 Seasonal predictions for wildland fire severity
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Shyh-Chin Chen, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Francis M. Fujioka, John W. Benoit, John O. Roads
2009 Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation on summertime cloud-to-ground lightning activity over the continental US
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Timothy J. Brown
2009 Seasonal predictions for wildland fire severity
Conference Proceedings, Technical Report or White Paper
Shyh-Chin Chen, Haiganoush K. Preisler, Francis M. Fujioka, John W. Benoit, John O. Roads
2009 How much influence does landscape-scale physiography have on air temperature in a mountain environment?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Solomon Z. Dobrowski, John T. Abatzoglou, Jonathan A. Greenberg, S.G. Schladow
2009 January 31st 2009 off-season grassland wildfire
Technical Report or White Paper
Robert W. Hoenisch
2009 Learning the rhythm of the seasons in the face of global change: phenological research in the 21st century
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Jeffrey T. Morrisette, Andrew D. Richardson, Alan K. Knapp, Jeremy I. Fisher, Eric A. Graham, John T. Abatzoglou, Bruce E. Wilson, David D. Breshears, Geoffrey M. Henebry, Jonathan M. Hanes, Liang Liang
2008 Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland northwest (1651-1900)
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Emily K. Heyerdahl, Donald McKenzie, Lori D. Daniels, Amy E. Hessl, Jeremy S. Littell, Nathan J. Mantua
2007 The asymmetry of trends in spring and autumn temperature and circulation regimes over western North America
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Kelly T. Redmond
2007 Fuel consumption and flammability thresholds in shrub-dominated ecosystems - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Clinton S. Wright, Roger D. Ottmar, Sue A. Ferguson, Robert E. Vihnanek
2007 A Computational Method for Optimizing Fuel Treatment Locations
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Mark A. Finney
2007 Wildfires, weather, and productivity
Conference Proceedings
Michel L. Bernard, Noureddine Nimour
2006 Is global warming causing more, larger wildfires?
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Steven W. Running
2006 Planetary wave breaking and nonlinear reflection: seasonal cycle and interannual variability
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
John T. Abatzoglou, Gudrun Magnusdottir
2006 Employing numerical weather models to enhance fire weather and fire behavior predictions
Conference Proceedings
Joseph J. Charney, Lesley A. Fusina
2006 Regional relationships between climate and wildfire-burned area in the Interior West, USA
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brandon M. Collins, Philip N. Omi, Phillip L. Chapman
2006 Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling, Hugo G. Hidalgo, Daniel R. Cayan, Thomas W. Swetnam
2006 Windwizard: a new tool for fire management decision support
Conference Proceedings
Bret W. Butler, Mark A. Finney, Larry S. Bradshaw, Jason M. Forthofer, Charles W. McHugh, Rick Stratton, Daniel M. Jimenez
2005 Climatic controls of fire in the western United States: from the atmosphere to ecosystems - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Steven W. Hostetler, Patrick J. Bartlein, Allen M. Solomon, J. O. Holman, Richard T. Busing, Sarah L. Shafer
2005 Modeling surface winds in complex terrain for wildland fire incident support - Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Report or White Paper
Mark A. Finney, Larry S. Bradshaw, Bret W. Butler
2004 'Brewer fire mystery' discussion
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Stephen A. Eckert, Martin E. Alexander
2004 The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western United States: an applications perspective
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Timothy J. Brown, Beth L. Hall, Anthony L. Westerling
2003 Statistical forecasts of the 2003 western wildfire season using canonical correlation analysis
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling, Alexander Gershunov, Daniel R. Cayan
2003 An initial analysis of relationships between 2- and 10-minute averaged winds at 10, 6, and 1.8 meters: implications for fire behavior and danger applications
Conference Proceedings
Larry S. Bradshaw, Eugene Petrescu, Isaac C. Grenfell
2003 Predicting surface winds in complex terrain for use in fire spread models
Conference Proceedings
Jason M. Forthofer, Bret W. Butler, Kyle S. Shannon, Mark A. Finney, Larry S. Bradshaw, Richard D. Stratton
2003 Comparison of 2-D wind fields and simulated wildland fire growth
Conference Proceedings
Karl F. Zeller, Ned Nikolov, John S. Snook, Mark A. Finney, Jason M. Forthofer
2002 The 2000 fire season: lightning-caused fires
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Miriam L. Rorig, Sue A. Ferguson
2002 Long lead statistical forecasts of area burned in western U.S. wildfires by ecosystem province
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Anthony L. Westerling, Alexander Gershunov, Daniel R. Cayan, Tim P. Barnett
1997 Making sense of fire weather
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Brian E. Potter
1994 A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological precipitation over mountainous terrain
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Christopher Daly, Ronald P. Neilson, Donald L. Phillips
1989 Stream shading, summer streamflow and maximum water temperature following intense wildfire in headwater streams
Conference Proceedings
Michael Amaranthus, Howard Jubas, David Arthur
1989 The relationship between mean monthly fire potential indices and monthly fire severity
Conference Proceedings
M. H. McCutchan, William A. Main
1984 Changes in fire weather distributions: effects on predicted fire behavior
Technical Report or White Paper
Lucy A. Salazar, Larry S. Bradshaw
1980 Lightning direction-finding systems for forest fire detection throughout the western United States and Alaska
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
E. Philip Krider, R. C. Noggle, A. E. Pifer, Dale L. Vance
1932 Meteorological conditions affecting the Freeman Lake (Idaho) Fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
George M. Jemison
1927 Meteorological factors in the Quartz Creek forest fire
Book or Chapter or Journal Article
Harry T. Gisborne