Home
A JFSP Fire Science Exchange Network
Bringing People Together & Sharing Knowledge in the Northern Rockies

Orchestrating performance of healthcare networks subjected to the compound events of natural disasters and pandemic

Author(s): Emad M. Hassan, Hussam Mahmoud
Year Published: 2021
Description:

The current COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the vulnerability of healthcare systems worldwide. When combined with natural disasters, pandemics can further strain an already exhausted healthcare system. To date, frameworks for quantifying the collective effect of the two events on hospitals are nonexistent. Moreover, analytical methods for capturing the dynamic spatiotemporal variability in capacity and demand of the healthcare system posed by different stressors are lacking. Here, we investigate the combined impact of wildfire and pandemic on a network of hospitals. We combine wildfire data with varying courses of the spread of COVID-19 to evaluate the effectiveness of different strategies for managing patient demand. We show that losing access to medical care is a function of the relative occurrence time between the two events and is substantial in some cases. By applying viable mitigation strategies and optimizing resource allocation, patient outcomes could be substantially improved under the combined hazards.

Citation: Hassan, Emad M.; Mahmoud, Hussam N. 2021. Orchestrating performance of healthcare networks subjected to the compound events of natural disasters and pandemic. Nature Communications 12(1):1338. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21581-x
Topic(s): Human Dimensions of Fire Management, Risk
Ecosystem(s): None
Document Type: Book or Chapter or Journal Article
NRFSN number: 22745
FRAMES RCS number: 62891
Record updated: Mar 9, 2021