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Fire is an ecological factor in ecosystems around the world, made increasingly more critical by unprecedented shifts in climate and human population pressure. The knowledge gradually acquired on the subject is needed to improve fire behaviour…
Author(s): Daniel Moya, Giacomo Certini, Peter Z. Fule
Year Published:

The resilience of resource-based communities facing natural disturbances partly depends on the capacity of a wide diversity of stakeholders to share their expertise, articulate their efforts, and develop solutions that are both effective and…
Author(s): Rodolphe Gonzalès, Lael Parrott
Year Published:

Communicating risk information is crucial in policy making regarding hazardous events. The influencing mechanism of risk information in generating behavioral reactions is considered in the context of fire risk. We investigate homeowners’ responses…
Author(s): Tianzhuo Liu, Huifang Jiao
Year Published:

Wildland firefighting in the United States is a complex and costly enterprise. While there are strong seasonal signatures for fire occurrence in specific regions of the United States, spatiotemporal occurrence of wildfire activity can have high…
Author(s): Crystal S. Stonesifer, David E. Calkin, Michael S. Hand
Year Published:

A changing climate, changing development and land use patterns, and increasing pressures on ecosystem services raise global concerns over growing losses associated with wildland fires. New management paradigms acknowledge that fire is inevitable and…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

During active fire incidents, decisions regarding where and how to safely and effectively deploy resources to meet management objectives are often made under rapidly evolving conditions, with limited time to assess management strategies or for…
Author(s): Christopher D. O'Connor, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson
Year Published:

The impacts of wildfires have increased in recent decades because of historical forest and fire management, a rapidly changing climate, and an increasingly populated wildland urban interface. This increasingly complex fire environment highlights the…
Author(s): Christopher J. Dunn, Matthew P. Thompson, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview…
Author(s): Karen L. Riley, Matthew P. Thompson, Peter Webley, Kevin D. Hyde
Year Published:

How accounting for doubt helps inform decision making.
Author(s): Bruce G. Marcot, Matthew P. Thompson, Thomas W. Bonnot, Frank R. Thompson
Year Published:

Managing wildland fire is an exercise in risk perception, sensemaking and resilient performance. Risk perception begins with individual size up of a wildfire to determine a course of action, and then becomes collective as the fire management team…
Author(s): Anne E. Black, David Thomas, J. Ziegler, Elena Gabor, Rebekah L. Fox
Year Published:

Wildfire suppression combines multiple objectives and dynamic fire behavior to form a complex problem for decision makers. This paper presents a mixed integer program designed to explore integrating spatial fire behavior and suppression placement…
Author(s): Erin J. Belval, Yu Wei, Michael Bevers
Year Published:

There needs to be a deeper, systems-level understanding of the fire management system. The behavior of fire managers is a direct and logical result of the structure of the system in which they operate, influenced by factors such as incentives,…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson, Christopher J. Dunn, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

The management of wildfire is a dynamic, complex, and fundamentally uncertain enterprise. Fire managers face uncertainties regarding fire weather and subsequent influence on fire behavior, the effects of fire on socioeconomic and ecological…
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson
Year Published:

In the United States, increased wildland fire activity over the last 15 years has resulted in increased pressure to balance the cost, benefits, and risks of wildfire management. Amid increased public scrutiny and a highly variable wildland fire…
Author(s): Michael S. Hand, Krista M. Gebert, Jingjing Liang, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Mo Zhou
Year Published:

Stochastic simulations of wildfire occurrence and growth have become an integral part of both wildfire incident management and land management planning applications. The FSPro simulation system, implemented in the online Wildland Fire Decision…
Author(s): Joe H. Scott
Year Published:

Wildland firefighting is an inherently dangerous activity, and aviation-related accidents in particular comprise a large share of firefighter fatalities. Due to limited understanding of operational factors that lead to aviation accidents, it is…
Author(s): Crystal S. Stonesifer, David E. Calkin, Matthew P. Thompson, Jeffrey D. Kaiden
Year Published:

Can fire potential forecasts assist with pre-positioning of fire suppression resources, which could result in a cost savings to the United States government? Here, we present a preliminary assessment of the 7-Day Fire Potential Outlook forecasts…
Author(s): Karen L. Riley, Crystal S. Stonesifer, Haiganoush K. Preisler, David E. Calkin
Year Published:

Wildland firefighters are often called on to make tactical decisions under stressful conditions in order to suppress a fire. These decisions can be hindered by human factors such as insufficient knowledge of surroundings and conditions, lack of…
Author(s): Gregory K. Fryer, Philip E. Dennison, Thomas J. Cova
Year Published:

Federal policy has embraced risk management as an appropriate paradigm for wildfire management. Economic theory suggests that over repeated wildfire events, potential economic costs and risks of ecological damage are optimally balanced when…
Author(s): Matthew J. Wibbenmeyer, Michael S. Hand, David E. Calkin, Tyron J. Venn, Matthew P. Thompson
Year Published:

In October, the 12th International Wildland Fire Safety Summit in Sydney, Australia brought together students of fire from all over the world to explore new approaches in wildland fire safety. Participants attended from the USA, Switzerland, Hong…
Author(s): Rebekah L. Fox
Year Published: